Here we are at the start of the conference finals. I am sitting on some Denver Nugget futures and debating if I should hedge or not. I know, some people out there do not ever hedge, but I also do not like taking a loss, when it is easily avoidable. The simplest thing to do would be to just take the Lakers to win the series at +135. I can easily mitigate my risk and lose some of my equity this way. This is the smart logical way to make sure I do not lose my original bet amount.
On the hand though, what do I think will actually happen. I am starting to embrace that the Lakers will win this series. I know there is not much to gleam from the 2020 conference finals in thew bubble. The Lakers are vastly different and Jokic is significantly improved, not to mention MPJ’s growth as well. I still can not get the thought out of my mind that AD is going to feast on that Jokic defense. If the Lakers hunt Jokic, which they will, what is the Nuggets plan? Jokic switches on Lebron, or any perimeter player? AD dives to the hoop and destroys whoever switches? I think of all the teams and matchups that the Nuggets could struggle with this is the worst possible scenario. Could Denver just score a ton and watch the Lakers fail to make shots from the perimeter, of course.
Both of these teams have been exceptional at home during the playoffs. That may just continue, but I am going to take a wait and see approach for the series. I want to play the Lakers tonight on rest, but I am going to hesitate. The computer likes the Lakers, but I am passing for now.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model
Premium
Regular
LAL +6
NBA Odds Boosts
At this point, just opt into everything on the DK and FD tabs every single day!
No Sweat SGP (DK)
They are doing this every single day now!
NBA
MLB
2022 NBA Computer Model
Overall 358-387 48.05%
Playoffs 29-31 48.33%
Premium 8-15 34.78%
Our Plays 23-17 57.5%
Props 2-1 +120
Odds Boost 11-7 +715
Parlays 5-12 -683
MLB 1-1 -000
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