This weekend should be so much fun. On Saturday, we get two games where teams should have no issues and easily advance. Sunday, might be a little different.
JAX at KC -8.5
Do I want to lay a ton of points with the Chiefs? No. Do I want to take the points? Also, no. I hate this game. The Chiefs are much better, but we have seen them slowly start after bye weeks in the playoffs before. Since I am forcing myself to make a pick, I am taking the Chiefs. KC was significantly better in week ten and will be Saturday too. Teasing the KC down feels too easy, but I am doing it. KC -8.5 is my pick.
NYG at PHI -7.5
Late Sunday I thought I wanted to be on the Giants. New York is healthy and seems to be headed in the correct direction. Yet, after thinking about it, there is no way I am backing NY in this pot. Philly is getting healthy and the Giants have not exactly lit the world on fire against good teams. The Giants offense struggled against above average defenses. If only Danny Dimes could play the Vikings every week. I think Philly comes out very well and scores a bunch early. I am on the squarest tease of the year, but I just cannot help myself. I am on Philly -7.5.
CIN at BUFF -5.5
I was all set to pick the Bengals this week, if they played well and handled Baltimore. The exact opposite happened. The Bengals barely beat the Ravens. The Bengals offensive line took another injury. Josh Allen could easily turn it over and end the Bills season. I hope Buffalo learned from last week and will throw it a little more intermediate this week when attacking the Cincinnati offense. It is scary to back a team with a struggling defense that has been turning it over. I think Buffalo wins by a touchdown and heads to the AFC title game. Too many injuries for the Bengals and the magic Joe B had last year despite the line will be an issue. I am on Buffalo -5.5.
DAL at SF -4
I have waffled on this game. I do not like it at all. It seems like people are all over Dallas as the upset special of the weekend and this is the Brock Purdy blowup game. I am not sure yet. I will pot what I decide on Twitter later this weekend!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model
Platinum
Premium
Regular
JAX +8.5
PHI -7.5
BUF -5.5
DAL +4
NFL Odds Boosts.
NFL
KC -2.5/PHI -1.5 -120 (Tease)
2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 129-142 47.60%
Playoffs 5-1 83.33%
Platinum 3-5 37.5%
Premium 25-31 44.64%
Recommended Plays 28-36 (Platinum + Premium) 43.75%
2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 63-33 65.62%
Playoffs 3-3 50%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 9-7 +610
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-6 -470