This week we have several teams on bye. The thing I noticed was the amount of home dogs. Here we go again. There are three games I am already in on and of course, we need to find five for our contests and wagers.
Atlanta getting +3.5 at home against a team with no healthy wide receivers? Really? The Chargers struggle to stop the run too. You can attack the Falcons through the air, but the Chargers will apparently be without their top two wide receivers? This lines up nicely. I am on the Falcons +3.5.
The Packers are only laying 3.5 in Detroit. The Lions are beaten up and are terrible. I have the Packers on the short list, despite them being bad and a road favorite. If the Packers offense does not score this week, they will not all year.
It is going to be mid-to-high 30’s in Chicago Sunday and the Dolphins are coming north to play in Chicago. The Dolphins despite their flash and dash have struggled to put games away, let alone cover. I get the Bears coming off a blowout getting five at home! Bear down; I am on the Bears +5.
I have waffled on this game all week. The Raiders coming off a loss seems like the correct side, but the Raiders have been awful on the road. Yes, I know I took them last week, but it happens. Who knew the entire team had the flu at some point. The Jags just never come through. I have a lean on LVR.
Rookie QB on the road who might be terrible against New England? Seems like a slam-dunk right? However, wait, the Patriots have traditionally struggled with mobile passers and maybe that happens here. I am passing for now, but this is an interesting game.
I realize the sharps are on the Jets. I know the line has gone from 12.5 down to 11. I am struggling to be on the Jets due to Zach Wilson. Nevertheless, it is a home divisional dog getting double-digits. Passing at the moment.
This game smells. The Panthers defense has some major players. The Bengals offensive line struggles as we saw Monday. I want to take the Panthers, I really do. I am passing for now.
Kirk Cousins on the road as a favorite, what a great time to fade the Vikings. I am down with Washington getting +3.5 at home this weekend. I do have concerns about the Commanders secondary against the Vikings passing attack, yet, I have watched Minnesota struggle and try to lose every game despite their record. I think this is a three-point game no matter what.
Seattle getting points in Arizona feels too easy. Right? Like, we have to stay away. I am waiting for now on this spot.
I want to bet the Bucs. I have all week. Yet, I have not pulled the trigger. They cannot be trusted, but TB -2.5 is on my short list.
The Chiefs after a bye are one of the most solid wagers yearly, based on trends and Andy Reid. I am not laying double-digits this year, well, at least not this week. Pass for me.
The Saints at home Monday night is a very difficult spot. They are bad though. I do like the Ravens, but the injuries keep coming. Feels like a great stay away.
So here we are, three games I am in on and a few days to think about my other selections.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Survivor Pick
Are most people out of survivor. Sure, but I have one entry alive in a contest that is down to nine people. Therefore, I will continue to give this out!
Week 9 Philly (WIN)
Week 8 Dallas (WIN)
Week 7 New England (Lose)
Week 6 LA Rams (WIN)
Week 5 Jacksonville (Lose)
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Computer Model
Platinum
SEA +2
TEN +12.5
Premium
CHI +5
Regular
ATL +3
CAR +7
DET +3.5
IND +5.5
NYJ +12.5
WAS +3.5
JAX +1.5
TB -2.5
BAL -2.5
PHI -13.5
NFL Odds Boosts.
College Football Odds Boots
CFB
NFL
CHI +4.5
ATL +3.5
WAS +3.5
6 Point Tease +260
CHI +10.5
WAS +9.5
ATL +9
SEA +8
2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 57-64 47.10%
Platinum 1-4 20%
Premium 16-17 48.48%
Recommended Plays 17-21 (Platinum + Premium) 44.73%
2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 28-10 73.68%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-4 +350
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400
College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays
Combined
Overall 30-12 71.42%
Odds Boosts 7-4 +350
Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400