The computer model is off to a rough start, but always performs better with fresher new data. I assume it will start to progress positively. I am headed to a state without legal sports betting this weekend, so I have to make wager earlier than I would sometimes. As always, it depends upon the week. I think we know I may have a biased take of my guy, playing for my team, getting an insane amount of points. I know, it is the Bills, but here we are.
Tonight should be ugly, but this feels like a good Denver spot, or at least it needs to be for their sake. I am not playing it, but Denver feels like the correct side and the computer agrees. While this number is 3.5, our model says it should be closer to Denver -6. The Colts are bad and now missing their best offensive weapon. The Broncos should be able to defend the Colts very well. If I had any faith in the Denver coaching staff, I would be all over this, but here we are.
In terms of survivor this week it seems like Buffalo is the easy play. Yet, I want to save them. If you ignore my Steelers fan bias’s, the Bills will be large home favorite several more times this year. I am not so sure we will get that many weeks with this many touchdown or more favorites. We shall see what I end up doing later.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Survivor Pick
Week 5
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Computer Model
Platinum
Premium
Regular
DEN -3.5
NFL Odds Boosts.
No Score 1st Drive +100 (DK)
This is boosted from -225. I hope your max is higher than mine.
Risk Free SGP (DK)
$10 refunded
Risk Free SGP (FD)
As always use these and get your money refunded as a free bet.
College Football Odds Boots
CFB
NFL
2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 26-36 41.93%
Platinum 0-1 0%
Premium 8-13 38.09%
Recommended Plays 8-14 (Platinum + Premium) 36.36%
2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 13-5 72.22%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 1-3 -200
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-3 -300
College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays
Combined
Overall 15-7 68.18%
Odds Boosts 1-3 -200
Teasers and Parlays 0-3 -300