I went 4-1 in picks contests and sit at 11-4 for the year. I just need to keep this pace up for 15 more weeks and it will be a fantastic season. Your goal in order to win these contests is to be close to 65%. That is a lofty goal, but where you need to be in order to actually win.
Overall, it was a good weekend. We stayed alive in survivor, as more teams dropped off taking some of those road-favorites. In fact, every dog that we played won outright, except the Commanders. We cannot win them all I suppose. By taking the Bengals I did break one of my survivor rules, of no road team. I did it in week one as well with the Ravens. Maybe the Jets are the exception to that rule. Either way, Chargers, Bills, Chiefs all lost. I know these survivor pools have been decimated, but most have roughly just under 25% of the starting field remaining. It has only been three weeks. This upcoming week seems like an obvious one as the Packers are double-digit home favorites against what we assume is Brian Hoyer and the Patriots. The people who used the Packers in week two, might need to become a little riskier with their choices.
For tonight, the model is on the Cowboys, but I am staying away. The model is still weighted a little more towards last season with some of the items involved. That starts to shift the other direction starting with week four.
This better be the week Kenny Pickett gets announced as the starter. I literally can not take another week of Mitch. I am going to the Steelers and Jets game and I expect, no I demand it is Kenny Pickett versus Zach Wilson. Steelers are a 3.5-point favorites, but if they make a QB change, I will be on them.
Speaking of next week the Chargers lost their stud offensive tackle, their QB has banged up ribs, they refuse to use Austin Ekeler in a massive role, Keenan Allen is hurt and they are slated to be almost a touchdown favorite on the road in Houston. Say what you want about Houston, but they are 2-0-1 ATS after three weeks. I am curious to see if the public has learned from taking these road favorites of almost a touchdown and losing weekly. My guess, they have not and I will be on the Texans.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Survivor Pick
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Computer Model
Platinum
None
Premium
DAL +1
Regular
NFL Odds Boosts
All these boosts involved touchdowns and the overs, in a game with a total at roughly 40 points. Not to mention that the under has been crushing this entire season, especially in prime-time games.
College Football Odds Boots
CFB
NFL
2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 19-27 41.30%
Platinum 0-0
Premium 6-9 40%
Recommended Plays 6-9 (Platinum + Premium) 40%
2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 10-4 71.42%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 1-2 33.33% -100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-3 -300
College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays
Combined
Overall 12-6 66.66%
Odds Boosts 1-2 33.33% -100
Teasers and Parlays 0-3 -300
Win The Weekends 