I said to be careful with the computer in week one and I was not kidding. This is why models are used as guides and not the end all be all, when making plays. I ended up going 4-1 in all my contests and 4-1 in NFL sides I gave out. I want to thank the Jags for giving up a TD, when letting the Colts kick a FG would have been much better. Well, it would have been for me and anyone with JAX and the points perhaps.
Tonight should be fun with two of the premiere teams in the AFC and NFL. These games are always close and seem to come down to the wire. Yes, I know Keenan Allen is out with perhaps others from the Chargers. I think this plays close, but I am more focused on the Chargers WR overs in the prop market. I do find it odd that DeAndre Carter props are not on Fan Duel. Either way, I am passing on the game, but playing the risk free items listed below.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Survivor Pick
Week 2
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Computer Model
Platinum
Premium
Regular
LAC +4
NFL Odds Boosts
Mahomes and Herbert to throw for 250+ Yards +125 (FD)
Herbert’s prop is set to 279.5.
Mahomes’ prop is set to 295.5.
This parlay should pay -128. (On DK it’s -135)
I am in. This is too good to pass up. Could either QB not get there, sure, as it happened in their second game last season.
No Sweat SGP (FD)
Max $10 and it must be +400 or longer
If your team gets up 7+ you win (DK)
Max $50
NFL Risk-Free Stepped up SGP (DK)
Max $10 if it loses on Thursday get a free bet back for the amount up to $10.
All of these that get refunded as free bets for so little money are things you should be doing.
Fox Bet Has the same 250+ offer as FD, with a max of $10. Go ahead and bet this as well, but multiple sites offering the same boost is concerning.
College Football Odds Boots
CFB
NFL
Josh Palmer over 44.5 Receiving Yards -110
2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 5-11 31.25%
Platinum 0-0
Premium 1-4 20%
Recommended Plays 1-4 (Platinum + Premium) 20%
2022 Our Plays
NFL 4-1 80%
Overall 4-1 80%
NFL Props
NFL Odds Boosts
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200
College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays
Combined
Overall 6-3 66.66%
Odds Boosts
Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200