We are down to the final four. These are four very good defensive teams. I think the totals are going to resemble NBA games in the early 2000’s instead of what we are used to seeing during the last few years. So, who wins? Well, I do like Miami in game one tonight, but think the Celtics do win the series. They have somehow gone to another level and are truly a team where the whole is greater than the sum of their parts. Miami has struggled to score at times and oh, man that could be an issue against Boston.
Boston in 6.
The other series is a little more complicated. The Warriors do not have many people to throw at Luka that I think will be very successful. Yet, can all the non-Luka people score enough for Dallas? DFS is making himself a ton of money in the future with how he has played at times during the post season. It seems Dallas always has someone pop when they needed it most. Draymond Green did not play against Dallas at all this season, but Mavs have fared well against the Warriors. I think the Warriors beaten. Something just feels off about the aging Warriors. Golden State is going to need their younger players to step up here and play well. As strange as this sounds, Dallas know who and what they are. I am not sure the Warriors do exactly at this point. They have not had everyone the entire year and have to deal with the Gary Payton injury as well. I think Dallas’s pace and defense end up being the difference, well that and Luka being exceptional.
Dallas in 6.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Computer Model Plays
BOS +2
DAL +5
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 No Sweat SGP (FD)
Once a week you can make an SGP and if it loses you get refunded. Use this!
Reminder, rarely are combined boosts actually good. Normally, a parlay of some kind pays significantly more.
Let’s Get Weird
Mia -2
This is a tough turnaround for Boston and I could see them coming out flat here. I hope they lose game one, so I can bet them to win the series at a better price.
Dallas +5
Dallas +185 (Series price)
If Dallas loses game one, I am betting them again.
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 11-7 61.11%
NBA Record 52-57 47.70%
Hoops Combined Record 66-74 47.14%
Hoops Parlay Record 10-24 +194
Hoops Odds Boosts 45-74 +756
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 36-31 53.73%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 586-547 51.72%
MLB Record
Overall 0-1 -100
Parlays 0-1 -100
Win The Weekends 