These games have a weird feel. The Cavs have been faltering, but Mobley is back. The Nets never cover at home. I am very curious to see how these all play out. I think the Nets losing is the most interesting story line we could have, but they are a sizable favorite. I assumed the books would have some sort of boosts listed for the play-in games, but they do not at all.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Computer Model Plays
CLE +9.5 (Premium)
LAC +3
ATL -5
SAS +5
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$10 Risk Free SGP (DK)
You get one a day from now until 4/22. I would say use this!
KD/Kyrie/PG to each score 25+ +150 (Fox)
KD’s prop is set to 32.5.
Kyrie’s prop is set to 28.5.
PG’s prop is set to 28.5.
This should play +126. I like this. Everyone is going to be going all out. I am in!
BRK/LAC to both win +190 (Fox)
This should pay +188. Not a boost. Pass.
ATL/SAS to both win +320 (Fox)
You know Fox had to throw dogs into these boosts.
This should pay +320. Not a boost. Pass.
Let’s Get Weird
CLE +9.5
I am down for this. This feels like the Nets continue to struggle with covering at home.
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 41-50 45.05%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 55-67 45.08%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-23 +094
Hoops Odds Boosts 42-70 +736
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 31-43 41.89%
NBA Model 550-516 51.59%