We are into the home stretch of the NBA. I am going to breakdown motivations as I have mentioned before. There are so many people that are resting, hurt, or just not trying to win at the moment.
All the books have almost given up on NBA boosts. It feels odd considering how compelling the last few weeks should be. I hope that they start to pick up for the playoffs and the Masters.
We are back to a large ten game slate tonight. There are plenty of insanely large spreads with teams not being motivated to win.
Dallas at Washington +9
The Wizards have not been terrible, but they are not good. Washington has been beating other bad teams. Dallas is playing so well. Dallas in a money line parlay seems inevitable.
Toronto at Orlando +10.5
Another large home dog. Orlando is not trying to win. They have continuously benched starters late to make sure they do not win. This is leg two of the money line parlay.
Indiana at Boston -14.5
The Pacers are also not actively trying to win. Boston can be the number one seed. This is leg three of a money line parlay.
Sacramento at Houston +2.5
They just played this game the other night and there was no defense. The Rockets missed a three at the buzzer to send the game to OT. If you want to target player prop overs this is your game.
LAC at Milwaukee -7
This is a back-to-back for both teams. I have a feeling the Clippers rest people, mainly Paul George. The Bucks may rest people as well, but they are trying to also get the one seed in the East. The Clippers are locked into the eight seed no matter what.
Detroit at OKC +4.5
This is a back-to-back for the Pistons who shocked the Sixers last night. The Pistons play hard and are getting better. The Thunder have eight players for tonight. I have a slight lean on the Pistons, but wow.
Phoenix at Memphis +7.5
It appears the Grizzlies will be resting several players besides Ja Morant. JJJ, Adams, Bane, and even Tyus Jones are all listed as doubtful. Both these teams are almost locked into their position. I think you can use the Suns in a money line parlay as they do not rest people and just keep winning.
Portland at San Antonio -15.5
This is where we are that the Spurs are massive favorites over the Blazers. Again, you can see the money line parlay legs lining up easily here. Portland wants to lose and the Spurs are still live to make the playoffs. The Spurs hold the tie breaker over the Lakers and if the Lakers lose tonight, they are in massive trouble.
Minnesota at Denver -2.5
Both of these teams may be stuck where they are. Denver has a three game lead on Minnesota for the ix seed. If Minnesota has any hopes to avoid the play-in, they need to win tonight.
New Orleans at LAL +2.5
In a must win game at home with both Anthony Davis and LeBron James back, the Lakers are a home dog. Man. A Pelicans win essentially means they will be the nine seed and host the ten seed in the play-in game.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Computer Model Plays
TOR -10.5
DAL -8.5
IND +15
MIL -7.5
MEM +7
SAC -2
OKC +5
POR +15
DEN -3
NOP -2
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic to record 55+ Combined points/assists/rebounds +255 (DK)
Jokic’s combo is set to 50.5 and the over is slightly juiced. This is not that bad at all. Of course, you could parlay him to go over on all three of these for +494. Pass for me on this boost.
DAL/MIL/MIN to all win +250 (Fox)
The first two I like. This parlay pays +276 on FD. Easy Pass.
Let’s Get Weird
DAL/TOR/BOS/PHO/MIL/SA ML Parlay +209 (Barstool)
For the second straight day Barstool has the best number. What is happening here?
There are no Rockets props at this time, but I plan to revisit once they are available.
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 40-50 44.44%
NCAA Tourney Record 7-8 46.66%
College Record 12-16 42.85%
Hoops Combined Record 52-66 44.06%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-22 +194
Hoops Odds Boosts 42-70 +736
Hoops Player Props 8-17 -835
NBA Model Premium Plays 31-43 41.89%
NBA Model 519-486 51.64%
Win The Weekends 