We are into the home stretch of the NBA. I am going to breakdown motivations as I have mentioned before. There are so many people that are resting, hurt, or just not trying to win at the moment.
All the books have almost given up on NBA boosts. It feels odd considering how compelling the last few weeks should be. Hopefully they start to pick up for the playoffs and the Masters.
There are just five games tonight and as you can expect some are going to be awful.
PHI at DET +9.5
The Pistons keep covering despite losing and tanking. Everyone is healthy as of now for the Sixers.
MIL at BRK -2
I am tempted to just take the Bucks anytime they are a dog, as you know they are live. A Brooklyn loss drops them to the nine seed. A bucks win moves them to a half game out of first in the East. Obviously, both teams are still playing. The nets are only one game away from being the 10 seed and having to win two games to make the playoffs.
CLE at ATL -5.5
This is a back-to-back for both teams. Cleveland started Moses Brown last night with Mobley out. Kevin Love ended up not doing a ton in a decent amount of minutes. Cleveland is really beat up and struggling. Atlanta can catch Brooklyn or Charlotte and move out of the ten spot in the East. Atlanta easily beat OKC last night. Atlanta has won two of these three matchups this season.
LAC at CHI -3.5
The frisky Clippers with Paul George are catching points against an inconsistent Bulls team. I would have some interest in the Clippers, if they did not say they are limiting minutes in preparation for the playoffs. However, those limits seemed to disappear against Utah the other night.
LAL at UTA -13
The Lakers are terrible and AD and LeBron are not expected to play. If the Lakers lose they drop back to a tie with the Spurs for the tenth and final play in spot. They are going to lose. A money line parlay of Atlanta/UTA/PHI pays almost even money. That is not bad.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Computer Model Plays
PHI -9.5
MIL +1.5
CLE +6
LAC +3.5
UTA -13
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
BRK/ATL/CHI to all win +375 (Fox)
This should pay +332. It is a boost, but I am not down with Brooklyn right now. Pass for me. Really, I do not like going against the Bucks.
KD to make 4+ 3’s +310 (DK)
KD’s prop is set to 2.5 and over pays +106. KD is +260 to make 4+ threes on FD. KD averages 2.3 made threes per game this season. Surprisingly, KD does not get to 4+ all that often. The two other times that these two teams played and KD suited up, he went 3-7 from three in a 20-point loss and only 1-3 in another loss. However, this game has a massive total at 243 and Brooklyn needs this game. I am going to roll the dice here and take a shot.
Let’s Get Weird
UTA/PHI/ATL ML Parlay -104 (Barstool)
I am shocked they have the best odds, but here we are. The Cavs are in trouble, Atlanta needs to win and both Utah and Philly should win easily. I am ready for pain.
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 40-50 44.44%
NCAA Tourney Record 7-8 46.66%
College Record 12-16 42.85%
Hoops Combined Record 52-66 44.06%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-21 +294
Hoops Odds Boosts 42-69 +836
Hoops Player Props 8-17 -835
NBA Model Premium Plays 31-43 41.89%
NBA Model 518-483 51.74%
Win The Weekends 