Ja Morant is doubtful, yet Memphis is still a seven-point favorite. Dillion Brooks 26 minutes in his return. Malcolm Brogdon is questionable for the Pacers. The Pacers are working there was backwards and the Grizzlies have a goal to be the number two seed. They are currently tied with the Warriors in terms of record, but hold the tiebreaker. They need to win games like this if they are to hold on and as someone with a Memphis future; they need to keep doing just that. Yet, taking road favorites in the NBA without this best payer and giving points does not seem prudent.
Seth Curry questionable for Brooklyn and Jalen Suggs is out for the Magic. Again, the Magic have been a little frisky at home recently when getting many points and here we are with them getting almost double-digits. Beware the money line favorite parlay.
Three games at this point all with large spreads. Miami is giving 12.5-points hosting the Pistons. If you have been paying attention, you know the Pistons keep hanging around as large dogs. The Pistons have won or pushed every game since mid-February. Yes, that means somehow, there is value on the Pistons. Miami might finally be healthy.
The Suns are six-point road favorites, without Chris Paul and Cam Johnson. C.J. McCollum may be back for the Pelicans tonight, while Brandon Ingram remains out. I would highly recommend you avoid the easy four-team favorite parlay tonight. They have been getting crushed all year and here we are on a small slate with a natural fit and easy play. The road is where favorites have gone to die in the NBA this season.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
ORL +10.5
IND +7.5 (Premium)
DET +12.5
NOP +5.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Gonzaga to win in round one boosted to +100 (DK)
This is a free $50. Opt in, and then go wait to collect your money.
$25 risk free CBB wager (FD)
Risk free means take a dog on the money line since it will be refunded anyway.
$5 free bet to use on NCAA Tourney (FOX)
I mean it is free, why not fire it on some crazy ling shot and try to make some money.
20% Profit Boost any NBA Bet (DK)
See below.
Ayton and Jonas to combine for 65+ points/rebounds +160 (DK)
DK loves themselves some combined boosts.
Ayton’s combo is set to 27.5.
Jonas’s combo is set to; well I am not sure it is not listed due to CJ being questionable. I know that the combined boosts are never great. Pass for me. Perhaps I can revisit when we have more information.
Kyrie to record 30+ points +230 (DK)
Kyrie’s prop is set to 25.5. This pays +210 on other sites. I mean, it is a boost, but in theory, the Nets could blow out the Magic. I am passing. This does not seem like a risk worth taking since the boost is so small.
MEM/BRK/MIA/PHO to all win +160 (FOX)
I am a little surprised they did not include a dog as they usually do. This pays +150 on FD. This is such a tiny boost, and it appears to be the Admiral Akbar play of the day.
NBA
IND +7.5 (Boosted to +109)
Memphis without their best player on the road. The Pacers have been awful, but they hang around at home.
Let’s Get Weird
South Dakota State +2
It seems like they are the dog the experts love. They shoot the three a ton and some feel they should be favored in this spot. They have the most efficient offense in Division I basketball. I am in.
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 39-45 46.42%
College Record 5-8 38.46%
Hoops Combined Record 44-53 45.36%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-20 +394
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-67 +886
Hoops Player Props 8-17 -835
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-42 41.66%
NBA Model 468-431 52.05%
Win The Weekends 