There are nine games tonight but some teams are already making their intentions known.
The Clippers are resting several players and are 7.5-point dogs in Cleveland. The Sixers on a back-to-back are at this point, not resting anyone. They are small favorites over the Nuggets.
Portland may be the first team tanking to avoid making the play-in playoffs. What is left of the Blazers continue to be massive dogs, but back it up by being crushed every time they take the floor.
The Thunder are in full tank mode and are 10-point home dogs to the Hornets. The Thunder starting lineup and bench have been several unknowns and that continues to be the case.
The Spurs and Wolves both appear to still be trying. Minnesota has been solid recently and the Spurs rested everyone the other night. I kind of like Minnesota on the road. What is happening here.
The Bulls are small road favorites in Sacramento. The Bulls continue to beat bad teams and struggle with good ones. The Kings are bad and headed for the lottery.
The Bucks are one-point favorites in Utah. Man, after that awful performance Saturday, I want to play the Bucks tonight. However, playing in Utah is always extremely tough when they are healthy.
Draymond Green is back and the Wizards are bad. I also never get them right. I wonder how many minutes Dray plays.
Toronto slowly getting healthier besides OG. The Lakers look doomed after Phoenix really put it on them. LeBron is questionable, which is why the Raptors are 5-point road favorites. Well, it could be that or the fact the Lakers are awful.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
CLE -7.5
POR +13.5
DEN +3
CHA -10
SAS +4
GSW -12.5
CHI -3.5
UTA +1
TOR -5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic or Harden to record a triple-double +100 (FD)
This is close enough to a combined boost. Jokic is +230 and Harden is +380 to record a triple-double. I would rather play them individually, or in some sort of SGP. Pass for me.
Gonzaga to win in round one boosted to +100 (DK)
This is a free $50. Opt in, and then go wait to collect your money.
Giannis and Gobert to combine for 6+ steals/blocks +200 (DK)
DK loves combined boosts.
This is a weird one. Their props suggest they fall short of this and it is possible the Bucks go so small that Rudy has to come off the floor at times. I am not comfortable on the defensive props here. Pass.
Jokic to score 30+ +210 (DK)
Jokic’s prop is set to 25.5.
Jokic to score 30+ pays +190 on FD. This is a small boost, but why would I want to attack Embiid here? I am passing. Who knows how the Sixers look on the back-to-back after struggling with the Magic yesterday.
ATL/DEN/CHA to all win +200 (FOX)
This should pay +192. What a boost. I am passing as Denver is a dog and this does not pay very much comparatively.
MIN/GSW/TOR to all win +220 (Barstool)
This should pay +152. I have seen teams on the road die all year in spots they should win. Pass for me.
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 39-45 46.42%
College Record 5-8 38.46%
Hoops Combined Record 44-53 45.36%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-20 +394
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-67 +886
Hoops Player Props 8-17 -835
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-42 %
NBA Model 463-427 52.02%