Hey look at that a winning day on college basketball. I know we typical did not attack that sport as NFL and NBA keep us very busy, but this time of year allows for more time to dive into college hoops.
The NBA returns to normalcy with ten games tonight. I am not alone in saying that I enjoy the 6-8 game sweet spot every night, but ten is not as bad as the twelve from the other night.
Minnesota is a 7.5-point road favorite at Orlando. Orlando has been a little feisty at home the last few weeks, but they do still suck. Minnesota has had starters sit on and off the last few games and it appears they may be back to full strength. Orlando currently has the worst record in the league. I like Minnesota a little with everyone back, but we have seen road favorites struggle this entire season.
The Clippers, who I never get right, are 6-point dogs in Atlanta. There are whispers someone may return in the future and Clippers futures have come down some, yet they are still very high. The Hawks are finally getting healthy, but remain in the play-in area of the standings.
Detroit has been a covering machine and winning games where they have been dogs. Boston has been exceptional defensively, and overall. I am more than happy to throw the Celtics money line into anything. I would be interested in playing the under here, but the Piston’s defense has struggled. I need to mention the Pistons won a random game in Boston not too long ago.
The Hornets are surprisingly small favorites in New Orleans, but CJ McCollum is in the protocols. I thought they were done with all that, but here we are. With this version of the Pelicans, Jonas Valanciunas is going to smash tonight. He will have increased usage in a pace-up spot against a team that cannot rebound. As soon as the player props are listed for this game I am taking the over on points and rebounds for JVal.
Dallas is a large double-digit favorite tonight at Houston. Road teams laying double-digits have been tough this year. Frankly, playing on the road has been difficult this year. Houston is bad, but they have improved recently beating Memphis and the Lakers in the last ten days. I am scared to lay this many points on the road. I want to see what Rockets are available as Christian Wood and Jae’Sean Tate missed the last Houston game.
The Jazz, missing a Bogdanovich are laying six in San Antonio. The Spurs may have everyone back who has been listed as doubtful or questionable over the last week. I am scared to lay points on the road, when a team is missing someone who has become so vital to their offense.
The Suns just keep plugging along without Chris Paul. Toronto is 4-6 over their last ten and have struggled with FVV being in and out of the lineup. I have some interest in the Suns here, as Cameron Payne has been exceptional. OG is still out for the Raptors.
The Knicks have been playing well and getting 9.5-points in Memphis tonight. I am oddly worried the Knicks have been playing better and this is too many points. I am staying away.
Cleveland has started to fall off the last few weeks and Miami has continued to ascend. Jimmy Butler sat the last Heat game and is expected to be back, but nothing is official. Jarrett Allen will be out a while for the Cavs, but they have beaten the Heat the other two times they played this season. Neither Jimmy Butler, not Kyle Lowry has played against the Cavs this season. I like Miami.
The Lakers are bad and LeBron is questionable. I have no idea here without LeBron news.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
ORL +7.5
DET +14
LAC +6.5
DAL -10.5
NYK +9.5
MIA -5.5
CHA -3
SAS +6
PHO -5 (Premium)
WAS +4.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Mobley and Bam to combine for 3+ Blocks +150 (DK)
More of the combined boosts from DK.
You can bet their overs in an SGP for more. Pass.
Barrett and Ja to combine for 4+ made 3’s +110 (DK)
DK loves combined boosts.
Barrett’s prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced.
Dillion Brooks is questionable and there are not any Memphis props listed. It will not matter for me, as I rarely play these combined boosts. Without even seeing, the numbers I bet the parlay of them to both make 2+ threes pays more. Pass.
ATL/MEM/CLE to all win +350 (FOX)
I am on the other side of one of these games. Fox always sneaking in dogs on these boosts.
This pays +427 on Fan Duel. Easy Pass.
ILL/LSU/AUB to all win +320 (FOX)
LSU is a dog. Pass for me. This should pay +287. I am out. I am never taking a dog in a parlay like this.
PROV/Mich ST/Nova to all win +625 (FOX)
Three tiny spreads and one dog. Pass. This should pay +576, so it is a boost, but like I said, why the dogs? Pass.
HOU/ARK/ST. Bon to all win +280 (Barstool)
This should pay +216. I mean it is a boost, but the Bonnies are small 1.5-point favorites. The other two seem safer as they are larger favorites. Pass for me.
NBA
MIA -6.5
I expect Butler to play and the Heat to be close to full strength.
PHO -5
I like the Suns at home.
Let’s Get Weird
I will update with Jonas props when they are available.
This I am calling the do not get bored and want to have action all day while going to the bathroom so you make a random parlay.
Celtics/Heat/Suns/Auburn/Davidson/Houston/Tennessee/Duke/Kansas/SMU/Kentucky/Arizona ML Parlay +1057
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 38-44 46.34%
College Record 5-8 38.46%
Hoops Combined Record 43-52 45.26%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-20 +394
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-67 +886
Hoops Player Props 8-15 -635
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-41 42.25%
NBA Model 448-418 51.73%
Win The Weekends 