From 12 games to two. That is the NBA slate tonight. However, the games should be good. Simmons comes back to Philly, on the bench though, and Harden revenge spot perhaps. There are no major injuries in either game. Does Gary Payton II count as major? I mean he does usually start for the Warriors. Of course, Draymond Green is still out.
The college slate is jammed pack with games though!
If you noticed DK is pushing their odds boost toward SGP’s instead of other avenues. I realize there are only two games, but man all the boosts revolve around exactly who you would think. If this was an NFL Sunday I would say run away it means danger.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
PHI -4.5
DEN +1.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Harden to record 10+ assists and Sixers to win +150 (FD)
Harden’s prop is set to 11.5 and the Sixers are 4.5-point favorites.
This should pay -106. I am in! This is a large boost and Harden can miss his prop and still get there.
Harden 25+10 and Sixers win 25% Boost (DK)
+220 to +275
Harden’s prop is set to 25.5 points. This should pay around +225 or so. Again, this is a boost, this is where we expect him to land scoring wise and the Sixers should play well at home. I am in. I fully expect Harden to disappear as I add more wagers involving him.
Mystery SGP Boost Sixers/Nets (DK)
I got 100%. I mean I could recreate some of the above and boost it higher.
Here is an idea.
Kyrie/Harden/KD all 25+ points Boosted 33% (DK)
+300 to +399
This should pay around +321. This is my limit here. I am not expecting everyone to go over their prop, which is what this would mean for this boost to hit. Kyrie’s prop is set to 24.5. KD’s prop is set to 29.5 and the over is juiced. I am passing, but this is fair.
Harden to record 50+ points/rebounds/assists +205 (DK)
Harden’s combo is set to 44.5 and the over is juiced. Is anyone betting unders on Harden tonight? I am passing here as I would rather parlay the over on each prop.
Curry and Jokic to score 55+ points combined +155 (DK)
More of these combined boosts from DK. You can parlay them to go over their prop numbers at +244. That is also several points short of the 55+ needed for this boost. I am out.
Sixers/Nuggets to both win +225 (Fox)
This should pay +220. Not really a boost. Pass.
Embiid to score 40+ +400 (Fox)
Embiid’s prop is set to 31.5.
Embiid is +450 on FD to score 40+. Easy pass.
Arizona/Kansas/Oregon to all win +160 (Barstool)
They always sneak one in on these. Two larger favorites and Oregon who is giving a whopping one point. It is a boost as it should pay +124. Pass for me.
NBA
Let’s Get Weird
Iowa -8.5
Sacramento State +10.5
St. John’s +6.5 (There is a Big East Tourney odds, boost, if you use it you get an extra 10% on DK)
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 38-44 46.33%
College Record 3-7 30%
Hoops Combined Record 41-51 44.56%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-20 +394
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-65 +1086
Hoops Player Props 8-15 -635
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-41 42.25%
NBA Model 448-416 51.85%
Win The Weekends 