Massive 12 game slate tonight in the NBA with plenty of teams on a back-to-back. The Clippers, Magic, Pelicans, Thunder, Bucks, Suns and Hornets are all playing again tonight. That means their injury report will not be out until much closer to game time. The Pelicans having rested Brandon Ingram last night could let someone else sit tonight, but they may just stay at full strength.
It seems like I have been going game-by-game and giving a few thoughts and I am going to keep that up. Especially with the NCAA tournament on the horizon and the NBA getting lost in the shuffle for some.
The Bulls have lost five straight and struggle with good teams, are laying six on the road in Detroit. Isiah Stewart got hurt in the Pistons last game meaning Bagley and Olynyk will have to try to stop Nikola Vucevic.
Boston is laying 7.5 in Charlotte with the Hornets having played and lost to the Nets last night. It is hard to not like Boston with Jaylen Brown back and playing the way they have. Boston is 14-2 in their last 16 games with the losses being to bad teams in the Pacers and Pistons.
The Suns continue to win without Booker and Paul, but it appears Booker may come back tonight. Despite his return the Heat are large 8.5-point favorites. This already feels like a night to lose a money line parlay with the Celtics and Heat as part of it. The Heat are good, even more so at home where they are 23-7.
The Lakers are laying points on the road against the Rockets. The Lakers are 9-20 on the road. Houston is not good, but I just cannot lay points with this Lakers team at this time. They are going to be in the play-in.
What a stretch for the Wolves. They play the Thunder, then Portland twice and get the Thunder again. It appears everyone will be back healthy for Minnesota, but they could certainly rest someone if they wanted. SGA continues to murder his points prop. If this number comes out ad it is under 29.5, it is an auto bet for me. SGA is averaging 33.3 points per game over his last ten, when Josh Giddey got hurt.
Bucks are five point favorites over the Hawks after easily blowing out the Thunder last night. Grayson Allen sat, but should be back tonight. Do the Bucks rest anyone tonight? They do not play again until Saturday at Golden State.
The Pelicans are battling for their play-in position, but have been much better since the trade deadline. The key, they are beating teams they should beat. The Pelicans have one-loss to a team with a losing record since February 1st. Everyone who has beaten them has been the better team. The Pelicans take care of business when it is expected. I like them tonight with a rested BI.
I am tired of dealing with Toronto’s injury situation. FVV is coming back tonight, but OG remains out. The Spurs had several players out in their last game and everyone is trending toward playing. I hate this game. It is essentially close to a pick as well.
Dallas has been much better and on a five game winning streak. Dallas plays very slow ad deliberate. The Knicks are in the middle of an eight-game road trip. I like Dallas to keep playing well and use their style and defense to stymie the Knicks.
This is the third time the Kings and Nuggets have played in three weeks. The Nuggets won the other two by 18 and five points respectively. Jokic crushed in those games with a triple-double in one and falling one assists short of one in the other. Jokic is only +105 to record a triple-double on FD, but +120 on DK.
Utah is giving a million points to the Blazers. The Blazers have lost by 43, 14, 30, 32, and 37 in their last 5 games. Is it insane to lay this many points? Maybe, but how do the Blazers stay in the realm of close here.
The Wizards are getting 4.5-points against the Clippers tonight. I give up with this Clippers team. I seem to never get them correct.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
CHI -5
BOS -7.5
PHO +5
MIL -4.5
LAL -5.5
NOP -8.5
MIN -14.5
TOR -1.5
DAL -9
UTA -17
DEN -4.5
LAC -4
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
College Hoops Mystery Boost (DK)
I got 50%, but for how I run in college this should be 200%.
DDR and Cade to combine for 55+ points +210 (DK)
Here we go again DK. DDR’s numbers have come down some with the return of LaVine.
Cade’s prop is set to 19.5.
DDR’s prop is set to 28.5.
You can parlay them to both go over for +251. That would also put you at 48 points instead of the 55+ needed. Pass on the boost. These combined boosts always trend this way.
RJ Barrett and Randle to combine for 50+ points +150 (DK)
And again.
Barrett’s prop is set to 24.5.
Randle’s prop is set to 23.5.
I would rather parlay their overs for +283 and would need two less points as well. Pass.
Trae Young to record 40+ points/assists +150 (DK)
Trae’s combo is set to 36.5. You can parlay Trae’s assist and points prop to go over for +219. Oh and those numbers put you at only 36 total. Pass for me.
CHI/MIA/ATL to all win +450 (FOX)
Jimmy Butler has moved to questionable. The Hawks are dogs. Pass for me. This should pay +462.
NBA
NOP -8.5
DAL -8
UTA -17
Let’s Get Weird
BOS/MIN/NOP/DAL/UTA +136 (FD)
ST Joe’s/La Salle Under 133.5
The last time they played 97 total points were scored and this is a larger venue at 1 PM on Wednesday.
WF -10
Wake beat them by 30 in their lone matchup. BC played yesterday at this time as well.
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 37-42 46.83%
College Record 2-6 25%
Hoops Combined Record 39-48 44.82%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-19 +494
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-65 +1086
Hoops Player Props 8-15 -635
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-41 42.25%
NBA Model 440-412 51.64%
Win The Weekends 