The Bulls, Hawks, Pistons, and Raptors are all on a back-to-back. FVV and OG are both already out for Toronto. Tobias Harris is questionable for the Sixers. Anthony Edwards is out for Minnesota. The Thunder may have only nine bodies tonight and two of them I heard the names of for the first time two days ago.
The Sixers will play against a real defense for the first time since the Harden debut. I am very curious to see how the Cavs can try to slow them with their baseline. The Suns will still be without Booker and CP3 again as they host the Knicks. I have been waiting for the Suns to stumble without both of their backcourt starters, but it has not happened yet.
Several larger favorites on the slate tonight, it may be time to lose a money line parlay again. We have two boosts and an SGP for tonight!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
CLE +7
IND -3.5
WAS +4.5
CHI +5
TOR -7
UTA -4
MIN -9.5
HOU +13.5
NYK +6.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Harden to record a double-double and Sixers to win +110 (FD)This should pay around -130. I am in on the Sixers. I know the defense may be tougher tonight, but this is basically Harden to record 10 assists and the Sixers to win. I think they do and he will certainly have his chances. Harden’s assist prop may be set to 10.5 and the under is juiced, but Harden to record 10+ assists is -154. I am in.
DK SGP Mystery Odds Boosts
I got 50%. If you get 100-200% I think you should be taking advantage of that.
I really like SGA and this Minnesota game tonight. So here we go. I was limited in my wager amount due to the max win limit, as I like to have fun with these but make them somewhat plausible.
Bridges and Cam Johnson to combine for 4+ made 3’s +105 (DK)
More of this combined stuff on DK. I would rather parlay their over props. Pass for me.
Giannis or DDR to score 40+ points +330 (DK)
This is not terrible since you get both. Giannis is +480 and DDR is +750 to record 40+. This game does have a massive total of 240 points. I am out on this though. Giannis did score 30 against the Bulls earlier this year. LaVine is back for the Bulls and this is asking a lot. Pass for me.
PHI/NOP/DEN to all win +240 (FOX)
This pays +248 on FD. The Pelicans are also dogs. Pass for me.
Winthrop/Murray State/Belmont to all win +140 (Barstool)
This should pay +114. Two of these are larger favorites and one is smaller favorite of only four-points in Belmont. I have not put a hex on a favored team in a conference tourney in 36 hours, so it is time. I am in.
NBA
SGA over 27.5 Points -114 DK
With the injuries he is shooting so much.
SGA 35+ +330 (FD)
Let’s Get Weird
PHI/TOR/MIN/DEN ML Parlay +135 (DK)
All four are playing weaker teams and are 7+ point favorites. Who randomly loses? Minnesota?
NBA Record 202-2022
NBA Record 37-40 48.05%
College Record 2-4 33.33%
Hoops Combined Record 39-44 46.98%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-64 +1076
Hoops Player Props 6-14 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-41 42.25%
NBA Model 426-397 51.76%
Win The Weekends 