I am pretty sure if I am on a higher seed in a conference tournament, they are in trouble! The best part of this time of year is games all day. The worst part of this time of year is games all day. Throw in some PGA and we get to have a lot of fun. We have seven games tonight and I am loving this stretch of a solid amount of games every night.
We have plenty of injury concerns as of now, as we usually do in the NBA. John Collins is doubtful and Trae Young is questionable for the Hawks. They are only a one point home dog to the Bulls, so I assume Trae is going to play. The Celtics will be without Jaylen Brown tonight and I assume Jayson Tatum will be highly owned in DFS. The same two guys remain questionable for thr Raptors in FVV and OG, but they are large favorites against the Pistons tonight.
Miami is on a tough road back-to-back after playing the Bucks they get to play the Nets and the return of Kevin Durant. No word on Kyle Lowry at this point. Sacramento is also on a back-to-back playing against the Spurs.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
CHI -1
MIA -2.5
TOR -8
MEM +2 (Premium)
SAC +7
GSW +2
LAL +2.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Place a $25 first basket bet and get $1 back for every three made Bos/Mem (FD)
I do not bet first basket bets. But if you are, at least you are going to get something back if it fails.
MEM/BOS SGP Boost 33% (DK)
+175 to +232
Ja 25+ points/Tatum 3+ made threes/Adams 10+ rebounds
Ja’s prop is set to 30.5.
Tatum’s prop is set to 3.5 and the under is juiced. He is also -225 to make 3+ threes.
Adams prop is set to 10.5 and the over is juiced.
This should pay +169. This is a solid boost and everyone should be in range for this. Suprosingly, I am in on one of these pre-built boosted SGP’s.
Ja to score 35+ +215 (DK)
Ja’s prop is set to 30.5. This should pay +176 or so. I said it the other night; I am not into attacking the Celtics defense right now. However, Ja as you all know has been incredible. I am passing on this one.
Luke to score 40+ +475 (DK)
Luka’s prop is set to 30.5.
Over on FD Luka is +560 to score 40+. This is an obvious and easy pass.
MIA/DAL/SAS to all win +350 (Fox)
This should pay +310 and includes two small two-point favorites. I am passing. I am not into small road dogs. I am out.
NBA
MEM +2
We are going to find out just how goo Memphis is tonight. The Celtics will be without Jaylen Brown and their defense has been exceptional. I took Memphis a few weeks ago to win the title, but it is games like this where I want to see how they play on the road against a good team that has been coming on as of late. I am excited to find out.
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 37-39 48.68%
College Record 2-4 33.33%
Hoops Combined Record 39-43 47.56%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-61 +1376
Hoops Player Props 6-14 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-40 42.85%
NBA Model 424-392 51.96%