NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-1-22

This is a back-to-back for Minnesota, Toronto, and Brooklyn. Since this is a road game Kyrie is allowed to play. The Lakers are playing against the red-hot Dallas Mavericks, LeBron is listed as questionable the Lakers are 5.5-point home dogs. Yikes. I am not the first person to say it, but the Lakers closing schedule is brutal. They will be fortunate to be in the play-in tournament.

I made a few golf wagers already for the API this weekend. I am on Higgo 200/1 and Max Homa at 45/1. Both of these can be found on Draft Kings sportsbook.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
WAS -3.5
BOS -6 (Premium)
BRK +8.5
LAC -7
MIN +1.5
DAL -5.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Mavs/Lakers SGP Boost 33% (DK)
LeBron 30+ points/Luka 10+ Assists/MAVS ML
+500 to +665
LeBron’s prop is set to 28.5.
Luka’s prop is set to 8.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
This parlay should pay +559. This is a solid boost but you are asking both players to go over here by a few. There is also a chance the Lakers are dead and the Mavs, who are playing well, roll them. I am passing. I think there is a chance the Lakers get crushed and there is not enough time for these guys to get here. On the other hand, if LeBron does score 30+ the Lakers may win, making this boost a little odd with the MAVS money line. I am out.

Hawks/Celtics SGP Boosts 33% (DK)
Brown 25+ points/Tatum 25+ Points/Trae 10+ Assists
+475 to +631
This should pay +581. This is a boost, but it is rather on the small end for a number this big. I am just not into attacking the Celtics defense right now. Pass for me.

Celtics to win by 10+ +155 (DK)
The Celtics -9.5 are +138 on another site. This is a very fair price if you believe in the Celtics to win and cover. I would rather just play them ATS, but this is fair. Pass for me.


KAT and Curry to combine for 7+ made 3’s +140 (DK)
Here we go with the combined stuff again on DK.
Curry’s prop is set to 4.5 and the over is juiced.
KAT’s prop is set to 1.5 and the over is juiced.
You can parlay them to go over for +199. I would much rather do that as usual with these combined boosts. I am passing on the boost.

Duke/Purdue/Arizona to all win +220 (FD)
The College hoops boosts should ramp up in the next few weeks. This features not one, but two small road favorites. Pass for me! This should pay +160 though if you want to fire.

DET/BOS/LAC to all win +375 (FOX)
Since it is Fox you know a dog is going to be included in this.
This should pay +359. This is a tiny boost and the Pistons are dogs. Pass for me.

TEN/OK/ARZ to all win +160 (Barstool)
This should pay +132. I was in after the first two legs, but taking a small dog on the road seems bad after the last week of college hoops. Pass for me.

Trae and Tatum to each score 25+ +160 (Barstool)
Trae’s point prop is set to 27.5.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 26.5.
This parlay should pay +132. This is a decent boost and both players. Yet, the Celtics defense has been exceptional recently and I do not want to attack them. Pass for me.

NBA
BOS -6
BOS/ATL Under 227.5
I am here for the Celtics resurgence. No Collins again for the Hawks and they played a few days ago with this game sailing way under. I think Boston coming off that subpar Sunday against the Pacers get it going tonight.

Let’s Get Weird
FGC -10.5
Oh it is March so it is time to dip back in on college hoops. North Alabama lost to them by 32 when they last played and NA has lost their last eight. Their season ends tonight.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 35-38 47.94%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 37-40 48.05%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-60 +1476
Hoops Player Props 6-14 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 29-40 42.02%
NBA Model 417-385 51.99%