It is James Harden debut night! Do not fall for these Harden odds boosts. There is plenty of uncertainty between his minutes, role and situation. Having said that, it is a great spot. Minnesota, Phoenix and OKC are all on a back-to-back. The Lakers will be without AD and LeBron may or may not play. He is going to play. He is ready to be the hero and will them to the playoffs, or he will try.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
HOU +3.5
OKC +7.5
CHA +2
WAS +3.5 (Premium)
NYK +6
PHI -2.5
DAL +5.5
NOP +6.5
LAL -1.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Bet an NBA team to win the title (DK) Return is in free bets
$25 MIN, get $1 for each win they have after the break.
$50 MIN, get $2 for each win they have after the break.
$100 MIN, get $5 for each win they have after the break.
Most teams have roughly 23 games remaining. Assuming a good team wins at a 60% clip to be safe, that’s about 14 wins the rest of the way.
This is an odd one for me. I have the Sixers already. I have a very old Nuggets ticket I forgot about. I want to get weird and West with this play. I am rolling with the Memphis Grizzlies at +2500. They have a very nice schedule to close with several teams that appear to have no direction, or ones that are headed toward the tank. This includes Orlando, Houston 2x, OKC, and Indiana 2x. That is six games they should win for sure. In addition, since the Grizz are such big dogs to win the title, I have some hedge equity in the plays. Memphis +2500.
LUKA to record 60+ points/rebounds/assists +475 (DK)
Luka’s combo is set to 49.5. Again, you could bet all of his overs parlayed for +515 and you can miss this boost number by ten. Pass.
Embiid and Harden to score 25+ and Sixers to win (SGP Boost DK)
+500 is the boost and it should pay around +400 on other sites as well.
Harden’s prop is set to 20.5 and Embiid’s is significantly higher at 30.5. Honestly, ehhh. This should be better. The Sixers are small road favorites and Harden’s prop is low. I want to like this. I am excited about Harden’s first start, but I am passing. There are too many unknowns in this scenario.
Harden to make 1+ 3 in 1st quarter +100 (Fox)
Harden’s prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced. This is an easy pass. He is expected to make two threes, and I hate timed bets like this. Pass.
TOR/SAS/MIN to all win +550 (Fox)
I mean, they always put a dog in.
This should pay +547. I mean it is not even a boost and it includes a dog. Pass.
MIA/UTA/LAL to all win +340 (Barstool)
This should pay +274. LeBron is listed as questionable. I am very skeptical why the line is so small for the Lakers. Pass for me.
CJ and Booker to each score 25+ +240 (Barstool)
CJ’s prop is set to 22.5 and the over is juiced. Booker’s prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced.
This parlay should pay +220. This is such a small boost. I am passing here. Booker is going to smash by the way.
NBA
WAS +3.5
Let’s Get Weird
Booker over 7.5 assist -120 (DK)
He is the point guard for now and his assists numbers will be up across the board.
Booker to have a double-double +230 (DK)
This is only +155 on FD.
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 35-36 49.29%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 37-38 49.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-60 +1476
Hoops Player Props 6-12 -535
NBA Model Premium Plays 29-39 42.64%
NBA Model 403-372 52%