Finally, the NBA is back! I went to bed so early the last few days because there was no late night games to stay up and watch. Tonight we get our first look at the Suns without Chris Paul. SGA is back for OKC. Brooklyn is still missing everyone at home. Garland is out for the Cavs. The Memphis/Minnesota game has a total of almost 240 points. I am excited and ready!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
CLE -6
BOS -9
CHI -3
OKC +10 (Premium)
MEM -1.5
GSW -9.5
DEN -4.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Mystery SGP Odds Boost (DK)
I got 25%. I wish it were higher so I had to use it. With it being this small, meh.
Bet an NBA team to win the title (DK) Return is in free bets
$25 MIN, get $1 for each win they have after the break.
$50 MIN, get $2 for each win they have after the break.
$100 MIN, get $5 for each win they have after the break.
Most teams have roughly 23 games remaining. Assuming a good team wins at a 60% clip to be safe, that’s about 14 wins the rest of the way.
This is an odd one for me. I have the Sixers already. I have a very old Nuggets ticket I forgot about. I want to get weird and West with this play. I am rolling with the Memphis Grizzlies at +2500. They have a very nice schedule to close with several teams that appear to have no direction, or ones that are headed toward the tank. This includes Orlando, Houston 2x, OKC, and Indiana 2x. That is six games they should win for sure. In addition, since the Grizz are such big dogs to win the title, I have some hedge equity in the plays. Memphis +2500.
Tatum to score 30+ +135 (DK)
Tatum’s prop is set to 27.5.
Tatum is +144 to score 30+ on FD. This is obviously, an easy pass. You can get a better number elsewhere.
Ja and JJJ to combine for 60+ Points and rebounds +105 (DK)
DK comes right out with the combined garbage.
Ja’s combo it set to 34.5.
JJJ’s combo is set to 23.5.
As you can tell by adding, they are expected to be near 58 or so. Per usual a parlay of them to go over their props would pay significantly more. Pass for me.
Steph to score 20+ +100 (FOX)
Yes. You are doing this. It should be a free $10, LOL.
Curry’s prop is set to 24.5. I suppose you could be worried about a blowout.
JA and Jokic to each score 25+ +100 (FOX)
JA’s prop is set to 28.5 and the over is juiced.
Jokic’s prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This should pay -104. I am in. While it is a small boost, I think both guys get there and have massive games. It feels good to be back. Fire away!
Steph and Trae to combine for 60+ Points +185 (FOX)
Combined, lame.
Curry’s prop is set to 24.5.
Trae’s prop is set to 28.5.
You could parlay them to both go over for +262. I would rather do that. Pass on this boost.
BOS/ATL/MIN to all win +600 (FOX)
Spot the dog!
This has two dogs! While it should pay +489, I am not playing two dogs in a boosted parlay. Pass.
NBA
OKC +10
A healthy OKC with no Chris Paul getting 10 at home. I am in.
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 35-35 50%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 37-37 50%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-58 +1676
Hoops Player Props 6-12 -535
NBA Model Premium Plays 29-38 43.28%
NBA Model 399-369 51.95%
Win The Weekends 