This is the last day before a week off for the NBA All-Star Break! Sometimes these nights can be weird. With a week of rest on the horizon, some teams may do odd things or have people sit. Just be aware!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
MIA -5
WAS +4.5 (Premium)
DAL -2.5
PHI +6.5
HOU +10.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
SGP Mystery Profit Boost (DK)
25% for me.
Free $10 SGP on FD for the TNT game.
Embiid to score 30+ with 12+ rebounds and 2+ made 3’s +392 with boost (DK)
This is a boost, but what you really need is for Embiid to make two threes. That is the sticking point. He is favored to get to the other marks. I can make the same parlay on FD for +356. This is not large enough to make me have to bet this boost. Pass.
Embiid to record 45+ points and rebounds +105 (DK)
Embiid’s is set to 43.5. This is about what the price should be. It is not much of a boost at all. Pass.
Bam and LaMelo to record 70+ combined points/assists/rebounds +100 (DK)
DK combined trash again.
LaMelo is set to 34.5.
Bam is set to 38.5. So yes, this adds up to 73 and it appears it is a solid number for this boost. I would rather parlay players to go over their props separately, for a much larger payout. Pass for me.
Emiid to score 10+ +100 (FOX)
You should bet the max here. It is free money.
LaMelo/Luka/Giannis all 23+ points each +230 (FOX)
LaMelo’s prop is set to 20.5.
Luka’s prop is set to 30.5.
Giannis’s prop is set to 30.5.
This should pay roughly +178. This is basically a wager on LaMelo to get there at +230. The other two are expected to far exceed. LaMelo has been hovering around this number the last few games. I am in. The Hornets game has a higher total for a game where the Miami Heat are playing. I am leaning into that and this boost.
CHA/BRK/Mil to all win +475 (Fox)
This should pay +488. This also features a dog. Pass.
NBA
WAS +4.5
PHI +6.5
This is such a great bounce back spot after the Sixers got crushed the other night.
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 33-35 48.52%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 35-37 48.61%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 38-57 +1676
Hoops Player Props 6-11 -435
NBA Model Premium Plays 28-38 42.42%
NBA Model 396-367 51.90%
Win The Weekends 