It feels like we have been on the wrong end of some of these wild games recently. Chris Paul being fouled down eight with under five-seconds left. Maxey missing the SGP by a point. The Sixers comeback in OT. The Warriors down 17 in the fourth coming back to win and cover the original spread of -2. Insanity. These are the things you must get used to betting the NBA. Some days teams shoot 50% from three and they win, it does not matter who is hurt, or who they are playing if they shoot that well. Conversely, you can have a team shoot awful and falter against anyone. The three ball has become the great equalizer. Having said all that I would like to fall on the correct side of this weird variance.
Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols. Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
IND -3.5
CHA +5.5
MEM -4
CLE -4.5 (Premium)
OKC +12
LAL -3.5
DEN +2.5
BRK -4
PHI -10.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ja Morant and RJ Barrett to both record 25+ points +450 (DK)
Ja’s point prop is set to 27.5.
Barrett’s point prop is set to 19.5.
This parlay should pay +420. Ehhh, this is asking RJ to go over by a lot. Pass for me. Maybe if the total in this game were in the 230’s I would be more inclined. Pass.
Jokic and Clarkson to combine for 50+ points +205 (DK)
DK always with the combined.
Jokic’s prop is set to 26.5.
Clarkson’s prop is not listed yet. Just parlay them to both go over instead if you want to play this. Pass for me.
IND/NYK/LAL +500 (Fox)
Spot the dog.
This should pay +528. Pass for me.
MEM/DAL/LAL to all win +235 (Barstool)
This should pay +175. I just cannot with the Lakers. Pass for me.
Mobley and Green to score 15+ each +240 (Barstool)
Mobley’s prop is set to 18.5 and the under is juiced.
Green’s prop is set to 13.5 and the under is juiced.
This is a tough one as the Cavs defense is very good. This should pay +206. Green has only score 15+ four times in 2022. I am passing, but it is close.
LaMelo and Tatum to each score 25+ +415 (Barstool)
Ball’s point prop is set to 20.5.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 27.5.
This parlay should pay +332. This is a decently sized boost, but I think it is asking a lot of LaMelo to go over by five points. Pass for me.
NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 28-31 47.45%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 30-33 47.61%
Hoops Parlay Record 5-14 -131
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-46 +1676
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 26-36 41.93%
NBA Model 341-328 50.97%
Win The Weekends 