I feel cheated. We had that SGP won, Memphis up four in overtime and Ja Morant with a wide open three. Brick. It happens. I also had a decent DFS sweat on DK, but Steph Curry had other ideas. I finished in the teens in most contests. Close, but not quite.
Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols. Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
NOP +2.5
MIL -11
TOR -2.5
DEN +4
CHI -9
SAS +2
BRK +5.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kyrie and Booker to combine for 60+ points +145 (DK)
DK with the combined again.
Booker’s prop is set to 30.5.
Kyrie’s prop is set to 26.5. You can parlay them to both go over for fewer points combined and it pays +236. Pass on this boost.
Siakim 35+ points+rebounds +260 (DK)
Siakim’s combo is set to 25.5 and the under is juiced. This is a pass for me. This game has a low total and he is expected to come way under. Pass.
MIL/MIA/DEN to all win +500 (Fox)
Spot the dog! There are two dogs here! This should pay +530. Hard pass.
Giannis to score 25+/Middleton to make 3+ 3’s/MIL to win +250 (Barstool)
Giannis’s prop is set to 30.5.
Middleton’s prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced.
The Bucks are massive favorites tonight. This should pay around +215. I mean, this is almost entirely betting the Middleton prop. I am passing. He could get there sure, but this may be a blowout with no Bradley Beal. I am out.
NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.
SAS +2
This is a Golden State trap. No Klay, missing bench bodies, road back-to-back.
BRK +5.5
I Think Brooklyn stays close to the Suns tonight.
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 28-29 49.12%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 30-31 49.18%
Hoops Parlay Record 5-14 -131
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-46 +1676
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 26-36 41.93%
NBA Model 337-325 50.90%