Yes, plenty of the numbers from the model are stale. Yet, we use the numbers from the Westgate Super Contest. It means we have a consistent number and you know where they are and how they have moved. I have already bet the Steelers at +3.5, Titans -3 and the Chargers -7. The Chargers as I tweeted was on Covid speculation. The line did move a half point, but I may just buyout of it if we do not get any news Sunday morning.
In terms of my picks contests I need some 5-0 closes to get in the money. I am sitting at 58%, but that is not good enough apparently. Who knows.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None
Premium
NYG +6
TB-13
DEN +6.5
Regular Plays
IND -6.5
BUF -14.5
ARZ -5
CAR +7
PHI -3.5
CIN +5
JAX +15
MIA +3.5
HOU +12
DET +7
LAR -3.5
MIN +6.5
PIT +3
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
BUFF -1.5/TB +0.5/NE -2.5/SF +0.5 -110
Sure, why now. All of three teams should win easily. I am most frightened by San Francisco, but I am in.
Draft Kings
Brady to throw for 300+ +155
Brady’s prop is set to 278.5.
Brady to throw for 300+ is +154 on Fan Duel. This is not a boost. Pass.
Waddle to score a TD +200
Waddle is +175 to score an anytime TD. While this is a boost, I am passing. I like the Titans side here. Pass.
Kupp to record 130+ yards +215
Kupp’s prop is set to 109.5 and the over is slightly juiced. Kupp is +146 to get 125+ yards. This is a solid price and the Raven’s secondary is in tatters. I am in.
Kelce to record 99+ yards +320
Kelce’s prop is set to 72.5 and the over is slightly juiced. Kelce is +260 to record 100 receiving yards. I think he 100% rebounds. I am taking a shot here. I am in.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Fox Bet
TB/BUF/PHI to all win +120
This should pay -125. I know some professionals are on the WFT. The Eagles game looks too easy, so I am passing. You can fire though, just not for me.
Stafford/Brady/Burrow all 250+ Passing Yards +200
Stafford’s prop is set to 289.5.
Burrow’s prop is set to 274.5.
Brady’s prop is set to 278.5.
This should pay +170. I like this. All three with have to throw, except Brady and he loves to stick it to the Jets and bad teams in general. I am in.
LAC/DAL/NO to all win +180
This should pay +148. This is a tiny boost, but might be worth it because of the price. I just cannot with the Saints and Cowboys. Look, Dallas should have their way with the Cardinals, who appear dead in the water, but I am still scared of them. I am passing, but you can fire.
NFL
PIT +3.5
Was there a doubt here?
TEN -3
I want to see the Dolphins win on the road here. I doubt it happens. The Dolphins have beat one good team during their winning streak.
Let’s Get Weird
NFL Computer Model
Overall 116-124 48.33%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 25-23 52.08%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 30-32 48.38%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 22-20 52.38%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 12-40 -1615
NFL Teasers and Parlays 2-3 +005
College Football
Overall 8-1 88.88%
College Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154
Combined
Overall 30-21 58.82%
Odds Boosts 20-37 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +259
Win The Weekends 