Always beware when all the boosts are about one player or team. In this case, they appear to be center on George Kittle and the Niners. Assuming A.J. Browns returns for the Titans and their offense could be drastically different. Be careful just firing on the Niners. There is a reason this line looks a little too good to be true.
I said it on the radio the other night and I tweeted about it today. When Covid news or rumors hit, just bet against that team and figure it out later. I middle the Browns/Raiders last week and may have another chance this week. Saints had Covid issues; I tweeted about it and of course bet Miami +3. News officially comes out and it is now Miami -1. Where does that line end up? Do the Saints have more positives? Time will tell, but I like where I sit.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None
Premium
Regular Plays
TEN +3
CLE +7.5
ARZ +1
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
Kittle to have 50+ Yards and SF to win +150
Kittle’s prop is set to 70.5.
The Niners are a suspiciously small -3 tonight. This should pay +116. Look, this is really solid, unless you think the Titans show up and win. I believe that is in play. Perhaps the Niners are really good. I still will not give them the credit yet. The Titans are not good. I am passing, but I think you can 100% fire if you like the Niners to win.
Draft Kings
Jimmy G to record 300+ Passing Yards +475
This pays +360 on FD. This is a solid boost and if we expect the Titans to play well, but does this game go over. I think it could, but the prudent move is to avoid the Niners tonight.
Deebo to score 2+ TD’s +700
This is a boost as it should pay +500. I Think the Titans play well and Deebo’s targets have come down a great deal. Pass for me.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Fox Bet
Kittle 50+ Yards and a TD +200
This should pay +188. This is such a small boost, you can pass on it.
Jimmy G and Tannehill 250+ Passing Yards Each +400
Tanny’s prop is set to 214.5.
Jimmy G’s prop is set to 239.5.
This parlay should pay +503. Easy pass.
NFL
Let’s Get Weird
PHI-.5/LAR -1/GB -2 6 point teaser +140
I am asking both favorites to win tonight and Green Bay to beat the Browns by less than a field goal at home. I wonder who makes this lose. But, here we are. (This is from week 15 and uses GB from week 16.)
NFL Computer Model
Overall 106-118 47.32%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 25-22 53.19%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 30-31 49.18%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 22-20 52.38%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 12-40 -1615
NFL Teasers and Parlays 2-3 +005
College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154
Combined
Overall 29-21 58%
Odds Boosts 19-36 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +259
Win The Weekends 