I am all about having two games on Monday and Tuesday!
I have the Raiders +4.5 from last week. Now, I can take the Browns +3. I am more than happy to try and middle this game and have either team win by three or less. If that happens, I will win both wagers. Anytime I can create a window for a riskless wager, I am doing it.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None
Premium
Regular Plays
CLE +1.5
WAS +7
LAR -4.5
MIN -4
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
Cook and Montgomery to each score a TD +350
This should pay +255. Cook is -210 to score a TD. This Bears offense, well who knows? Predicting touchdowns is pretty tricky as you all know. I am passing.
Draft Kings
Cook to record 100+ rushing yards +140
Cook’s rushing prop is set to 92.5. Cook is +110 on FD to run for 100+ yards. Since the Bears are missing their entire secondary, I am going to assume they are smart enough to pass it a ton. I mean, I hope they are this smart. I am passing.
Renfrow to record 100+ receiving yards +240
His prop is set to 75.5. This is +198 on Fan Duel. This is kind of tempting as he will get a ton of targets. However, with the conditions and the Browns running it a ton, there may be limited opportunities. I am passing.
MIN/CHI under 39.5 points +200
This is a fair number compared to what else is out there around the industry. Meaning, this is what it should be. Pass for me.
Fields to record 250+ Passing Yards +280
Fields prop is 208.5. Fields to throw for 250+ is +235 on another site. Ehhh. This is a boost, but both of these games are going to be ugly. I am passing.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Jacobs and Chubb to both score a TD +500
This should pay +323. This is a solid boost, but this may be a very ugly game. Nick Mullins is starting and ugh. I am passing just because who knows what we will get here.
Fox Bet
LVR and MIN to both win +150
This should pay +130. I mean, if you like the Raiders today sure go for it. The Vikings will be missing their entire secondary. The Browns are missing, if the count is correct 18 starters. I am just sticking with my middling opportunity for that game. Pass for me.
NFL
Let’s Get Weird
NFL Computer Model
Overall 104-116 47.27%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 25-22 53.19%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 30-31 49.18%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 22-20 52.38%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 12-40 -1615
NFL Teasers and Parlays 2-3 +005
College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154 Combined
Overall 29-21 58%
Odds Boosts 19-36 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +259
Win The Weekends 