What a fantastic Thursday night game. We get a team at home getting points, playing a team they always play well against. The Chargers defense was constructed specifically to slow Patrick Mahomes down. Nothing like betting against the Chiefs in primetime.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None
Premium
Regular Plays
LAC +3.5
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
Mahomes 1+ Passing TD in Each Half +170
I do not bet timed boosts. Mahomes prop is set to 2.5 passing TD’s and the under is heavily juiced. Pass.
Draft Kings
Mahomes 325+ Passing Yards +310
Mahomes prop is set to 280.5. Mahomes is +230 to throw for 325+ over on Fan Duel. Mahomes threw for 260 yards in their first matchup. The Chargers defense was specifically built to slow down Mahomes. I think that continues tonight. Pass here.
60+ Points +225
The total is set to 52.5. You can bet over 60.5 at +210 on Fan Duel. This is a boost and if you think the offenses go crazy, by all means fire away. As I stated, I think Chargers defense slows down the Chiefs enough that betting overs tonight is the wrong play. Pass.
Hill to have 100+ Receiving Yards +205
Tyreek’s prop is set to 79.5. This is set to +188 on another website. Ehhh, I have an idea in my head of how this game will go and it does not revolve around Tyreek having a massive game. Pass for me.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Mahomes and Herbert to throw for 300+ yards +375
This parlay pays +349 on another website. Again, I am not a fan of betting the over here. Look, I could be very wrong. The Chiefs have been playing to unders most of the year and I think that trend continues. Pass for me.
Fox Bet
KC to win/Mahomes 250+ Passing Yards/Kelce 50+ Yards +200
Kelce has struggled mightily this year and I think you know where I am going with this game. Pass.
NFL
LAC +3.5
Home dog who always plays well against the Chiefs. I am in. I am highly debating placing this in my contests as well.
Let’s Get Weird
5 Team 6.5 Point Teaser +350 (DK)
LAC +10/NE +9/PIT +7.5/CIN +9/PHI -.5
NFL Computer Model
Overall 96-111 46.37%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 24-21 53.33%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 29-30 49.15%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 21-18 53.84%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 12-37 -1315
NFL Teasers and Parlays 2-2 +105
College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154
Combined
Overall 28-19 59.57%
Odds Boosts 19-33 -815
Teasers and Parlays 3-2 +359
Win The Weekends 