I ended up going 4-1 in the Draft King’s picks contest last week. I am in 267th place and top 135 are paid. Of course, while cashing would be nice, I want to win. Winning may be almost impossible at this point. I would need to not lose another game or something close to that. The leader is 44-16 on the season good for 73.3%. I am 34-26 for 56.7%. Yet, I am not very far out of the money and three games out of being inside the top 50. I am not dead yet, but really need to close strong.
Sometimes games just seem obvious and smack you in the face as plays. For me that is the Browns this weekend. Cleveland gets a beaten up Ravens team Sunday. I could be way off here, but it is great spot for the Browns. The Ravens secondary has been decimated by injury. Yes, the Browns are the worst team to take advantage of an injured secondary, but they will have to do that this week. I expect the Browns to start a little pass heavy with play-action and boots and then run it down the Ravens throats. The book is out on Lamar this year without a running back who can really help him in the rush game. I am all over the Browns. I texted friends early in the week to take the Browns -2.5, but I have zero issue with -3 as well. Of course, getting -2.5 is much nice for obvious reasons.
I really want to bet the Bengals this week. This is a great bounce back spot for them, but how healthy are those two fingers on Joe Burrow’s throwing hand? If we find out, he will be fine and practice reports say he is good to go, I will be on the Bengals. I said this on the Numberball show with Jeff last week. Every time the Bengals are set up to take the next step, they regress. However, then they bounce back right after. I am monitoring here.
When the sites post their odds boosts, I will update throughout the weekend.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None
Premium
LVR +9.5
NYG +10
Regular Plays
BAL +2.5
JAX +8.5
NO -6
DAL -4
CAR -2.5
SEA -7.5
DET +8.5
CIN +1
BUF +3.5
CHI +12.5
ARZ -2.5
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
Draft Kings
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Fox Bet
KC/SEA/DAL to all win +150
This should pay +126. This feels like a trap, especially with Dallas on the road against a suddenly resurgent WFT. I am out on this. While I do like the other two, I may make my way to being on the WFT and the points. Pass.
NFL
CLE -2.5
College Football
Let’s Get Weird
NFL Computer Model
Overall 92-102 47.42%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 24-19 55.81%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 29-28 50.87%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 21-16 56.75%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 15-35 -1685
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073
College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154
Combined
Overall 28-18 60.86%
Odds Boosts 17-32 -1185
Teasers and Parlays 2-2 +181
Win The Weekends 