What a weird state the NBA is in. The Bulls have Covid issues. The Hornets have Covid issues. The Lakers are in disarray. The Warriors look like the most complete team, without Klay. The Pacers are open to trading everyone. The Blazers have everyone hurt.
While all this is going on there is a great game tonight with the Nets and Hawks. I am very much so looking forward to watching this while going to a Christmas Party tonight.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
SAC -1.5
IND -1.5
ATL -2
TOR -1.5
CLE -1.5
MIL -9
DET +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
PHO -4.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
SGP Week Long Free Bet (DK)
Here we go again. If you bet a $10 SGP every day for a certain amount of days, you earn a free bet. Seven days’ worth gets you a $100 free bet. Therefore, I will do this and post mine daily. Please tweet at me if I forget and do not post one!
30+ 3’s made Celtics and Suns +450 (DK)
This game has a total of 213. The suns average 11.3 made 3’s per game. The Celtics average 12.2 made 3’s per game. As you can tell with simple math, there is a reason why this is paying +450. Pass for me. The Suns have a solid defense even without Devin Booker. Pass for me.
Harden and Trae to combine for 25+ assists and made 3’s +100 (DK)
This game has a high total and a small spread.
Harden’s assist prop is set to 10.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Trae’s assist prop is set to 9.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Harden’s made 3’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Trae’s made 3’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is juiced.
So while this I combined, you can see the prop market is expecting them to come in around what is needed to win this boost. However, if you parlay the same combo’s 10+10+over 2.5 and over 2.5, it would pay +760. I realize that you do not the benefit of combined in this situation, but the payout is so much higher that it is impossible to ignore. Pass on this boost. In fact this game gives me an idea for an SGP.
DAL/MIL/LAL to all win +270 (Fox)
This should pay +306. I should rename the Fox parlay boost spot the dog. Pass.
Cade and Mobley to score 15+ Each (This was on FD for a minute with no price and has since been deleted)
Cade’s point prop is set to 17.5 and the under is juiced.
Mobley’s point prop is set to 14.5 and the under is juiced.
If you parlay them to both score 15+ it should pay +185.
KD and Trae 30+ points each +460 (Barstool)
Both of their props are set to 27.5.
This parlay should pay +401. I think you can fire on this if you want. Trae has been playing so well and the Nets are rested and coming off a loss. I am sticking with my wild SGP, but I am throwing down on this. Tight game, low spread, and a high total. What is not to like? I am in.
NBA
Harden over 2.5 made 3’s -135
Trae over 2.5 made 3’s -125
You know I bet the SGP, so I am coming right back here with these two props. I think this game is high scoring and a great game to watch.
DET +6.5
I am riding with the model.
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 14-18 43.75%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 16-20 %
Hoops Parlay Record 5-9 +369
Hoops Odds Boosts 15-23 +580
Hoops Player Props 1-3 -200
NBA Model Highest Rated 18-26 40.90%
NBA Model 164-169 49.24%
Win The Weekends 