What to do tonight. As you know, the Steelers are my team. I had this marked off as a schedule loss when I saw this game back in the spring. The Steelers never cover after they play Baltimore. However, the Steelers are normally a favorite after they play Baltimore. Mike Tomlin is excellent as a dog and horrible as a favorite, especially of a touchdown or more. This is an odd spot. The Vikings are beat up and while the Steelers are not exactly healthy, they are not in horrid shape.
I believe the Vikings to be the right side tonight, but I just cannot. The Steelers desperately need this game if they are going to make the playoffs. Kirk Cousins has been awful on prime time. The Steelers are a dog to Kirk Cousins. REALLY!? I have not done it yet, but I will end up betting the Steelers. I am going to try my best to stay away, but here we are.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
Regular Plays
Pitt +3
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
Jefferson and Najee to each score a TD +350Barstool has the exact same boost at +400. Pass here.
Steelers to win +180
The line is slowly climbing to +3.5 and the money line is doing the same near +150. Pass for me. The Steelers never cover the following week after playing Baltimore. I am out.
Draft Kings
Harris to run for 100+ Yards +425
His prop is set to 72.5. This pays +250 on FD. This is a very large boost, but I do not see it. Steelers are my team and they have no ability to run for this many yards. Pass.
Jefferson to have a TD reception +115
JJ is -145 to score an anytime TD. Pass for me. The Vikings have one weapon in the passing game and I am to believe he will beat the Steelers? The Steelers will screw this up, but I am not ready to believe it will be Jefferson to kill them. Pass.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Jefferson and Najee to each score a TD +400
This should pay +243. You know how the sites all put the same person in odds boosts and that can be a warning sign. Justin Jefferson is in every boost it seems. I am passing. This game might be very ugly and the Steelers have been throwing it in the end zone, but they are not exactly an offensive juggernaut. Pass.
Fox Bet
Min to win and JJ to score a TD and +100 Receiving Yards +400
This should pay +351. I think you know I am out on all JJ props. Pass for me. If all these sites are offering JJ to score and overs in receiving, this is a good spot to go under. Pass.
NFL
College Football
Let’s Get Weird
NFL Computer Model
Overall 92-101 47.66%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 24-19 55.81%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 29-28 50.87%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 21-16 56.75%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 15-35 -1685
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073
College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154 Combined
Overall 28-18 60.86%
Odds Boosts 17-32 -1185
Teasers and Parlays 2-2 +181
Win The Weekends 