I really wish the schedule was a little more balanced. I know I keep harping on this, but here we are.
The teams on a back-to-back are obvious candidates to rest someone, so be aware of news that may hit. I am looking at you Brooklyn and Dallas. The Boston situation, does not require travel so that may be different.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
IND -5
CHI +3.5
WAS -5
PHI -6 (Highest rated in Model)
OKC +7.5
MIL -6.5
HOU +6
MIN +7
DAL +3.5
DEN -2.5
ORL +6.5
POR +14
LAC -4
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
SGP Week Long Free Bet (DK)
Here we go again. If you bet a $10 SGP every day for a certain amount of days, you earn a free bet. Seven days’ worth gets you a $100 free bet. Therefore, I will do this and post mine daily. Please tweet at me if I forget and do not post one!
Giannis and Embiid 25+ points +190 (FD)
Giannis and Embiid 22+ points +100 (Fox)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced.
Embiid’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
If you parlay them to both score 25+ it should pay +144.
If you parlay them to both score 22+ it should pay -135.
I am in on both of these. Embiid crushed the Hornets the other day that should happen again. As long as the Bucks/Heat game is close, Embiid will have a great chance to get there.
Tatum to record a double-double +280 (DK)
This is a road back-to-back for the Celtics. Obviously, there is no travel.
Tatum is +165 to record a double-double on another site. If this game is close, Tatum will have ample opportunity to actually get there. This is such a large boost, I feel like I have to take a shot. I am in.
Lowry and Jrue to record 3+ Combined Steals +185 (DK)
Pass. Always pass on combined boosts. Both of their steals prop is set to 1.5 and the under is heavily juiced. Pass for me.
Curry to record 40+ points +600 (DK)
This game will not be this close that Curry will need to play this much. However, he could do it in three quarters.
Curry’s prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced. This also pays +720 on FD. Easy pass when a better price is at another book.
WAS/DEN/GSW to all win +200 (Fox)
This should pay +168. Denver feels like the only real concern with them being a small road favorite. I am passing.
Giannis 30+ points and 10+ rebounds and Bucks win +400 (Barstool)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced.
This should pay +319. I am fine with the other two boosts, but think fading is the correct play here. While this is a boost and Giannis seems to always get to 10+ rebounds, I am out.
NBA
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 14-17 45.16%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 16-19 45.71%
Hoops Parlay Record 5-8 +469
Hoops Odds Boosts 14-20 +600
Hoops Player Props 1-3 -200
NBA Model Highest Rated 18-25 41.86%
NBA Model 157-160 49.52%
Win The Weekends 