I am ready to jump on a team tonight. Before even running the model, I liked the Sixers. They are finally getting healthy and getting everyone back into shape. Embiid has always played well against the Celtics, even in Boston. I expect that to continue tonight. The model loving the Sixers is the icing on the cake. Prepare for a big Embiid game.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
WAS -4
ATL +1.5
ORL +7.5
PHI +3 (Highest Rated in Model)
MIA -4.5
DAL -3
HOU +2.5
CHA +9
LAC -8
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Embiid to record a double-double and Sixers to win +320 (FD)
The Sixers are a small dog tonight. Embiid is -190 to record a double-double. This should pay +241. Look, if you want to take some swings on the Sixers tonight it appears the books want to give you options. Embiid has owned the Celtics. I have officially talked myself into the Sixers tonight. I am in.
Luka and Jonas to make 2+ 3’s +240 (FD)
Luka’s made 3’s is set to 2.5 the over is juiced.
Jonas’s made 3’s is set to 1.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
This is a product of what Jonas did in his last game. Despite that explosion, he normally does not attempt that many threes. This should pay +172. Pass for me.
Get a dime towards a free bet for every point scored (DK) with a $50 wager.
220 total points would generate a $22 free bet. The total in this game is 206 points. I am in. Give me the Sixers +125 on the money line!
LaMelo or Giannis to record a triple-double +600 (DK)
Here we go with the combiner or either or bets again.
LaMelo is +750 to record a triple-double.
Giannis is +1100 to record a triple-double.
I would rather bet either of them to have one, but this game needs to stay close for this to pay off and the Bucks are healthy. I am passing.
Trae to record 40+ points/assists +210 (DK)
Trae’s combo is set to 35.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
He has done 40+ in three straight games. This is a competitive game with a tight spread. I was thinking about betting this until I realized I could parlay Trae to have 30 and 10 at +448 on Fan Duel. Pass for me.
Embiid to record 30+ points +300 (DK)
Embiid’s prop for tonight is set to 23.5 and the over is juiced.
Embiid to score 30+ is +310 on Fan Duel. This is an easy pass then.
DEN/WAS/PHI +425 (Fox)
This should pay +359. Just like always, Fox tries to throw a “name” into these that is a dog. Tonight that dog is the Sixers. Pass for me.
NBA
Sixers +3
Embiid over 23.5 points -110
Let’s Get Weird
SGP Sixers ML/Embiid Over 23.5 points/Embiid over 10.5 Rebounds +525 (DK)
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 12-17 41.37%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 14-19 42.42%
Hoops Parlay Record 3-7 -171
Hoops Odds Boosts 9-19 -085
Hoops Player Props 0-2 -200
NBA Model Highest Rated 16-23 41.02%
NBA Model 130-143 47.61%
Win The Weekends 