Do you know anyone that is on the Falcons? It appears around 75% of the wagers are on the Patriots, which would explain the line move. I am going to take the home dog Falcons, but I am waiting until it gets to +7.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
NE -6.5
Regular Plays
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.
Mac Jones to throw 1+ TD in each half +300
I do not bet timed boosts like this. I have this feeling everything is going to be based on the Pats offense killing it on Thursday.
Draft Kings
Falcons to lead at half and Pats to win +700
I hate betting things like this as it means you are cheering for a weird combo. Pass for me.
Mac Jones to throw for 300+ yards +310
Mac Jones Passing prop is set to 252.5.
Jones to throw for 300+ is +280 on other sites. This is a boost. The downside here is Jones has thrown for 300+ yards, just once in a massive blowout against the Jets. I am passing here.
Falcons to win by 3+ points +330
Falcons -2.5 is +280 on another site, so again this is a boost. If you like Atlanta to win, this makes a ton of sense to me. I am passing as I think this is an ugly close game.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Fox Bet
Mac Jones 200+ Passing Yards and 2+ Passing TD’s +100
Mac Jones Passing prop is set to 252.5.
Jones passing TD prop is set to 1.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This should pay +109. I am passing simply for that reason.
Hunter Henry to score a 1st half TD +300
I do not bet timed boosts.
Ryan and Mac to have 275+ Passing Yards each +400
Mac Jones Passing prop is set to 252.5.
Ryan’s passing prop is set to 250.5.
This parlay should pay +472.
This again is an easy pass. Anytime you can get a better number elsewhere, I am avoiding.
NFL
ATL +7 (if it gets there, or else I am passing)
College Football
Let’s Get Weird
NFL Computer Model
Overall 69-80 46.30%
Platinum 5-8 38.46%
Premium 21-16 %
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-24 %
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 18-12 60%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 11-27 -1315
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +027
College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100 Combined
Overall 25-13 65.78%
Odds Boosts 13-27 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073
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