Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
NOP +4.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
BOS -3
DET +4.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
IND +3.5
ATL -10.5
HOU +11.5
DAL -5
PHO -4
MIA -9
POR -1.5
LAL +1.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Cade and Mobley to each score 15+ points +210 (FD)
Mobley’s point prop is set to 16.5. Cade’s point prop is set to 14.5 and the over is juiced.
This parlay should pay +180.
Mobley has been 15+ in nine of 15 games.
Cade has been 15+ in three of seven games.
The minutes and shot attempts are there for both of them. Cade has been struggling shooting, but that game has a decent total. I think Mobley may be safe despite the low total due to the minutes and whom us out for the Cavs. I am going to roll the dice here. I am in.
Lonzo and Caruso to combine for 10+ assists +170 (DK)
Lonzo’s assist prop is set to 4.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Caruson does not have a prop up, but he averages 3.8 assists per game. Either way, this combo is going to fall short of 10+ assists. It appears to be a fair price, or maybe slightly underpriced. Either way, I am out.
Turner and Robinson 7+ Steals/Blocks +220 (DK)
This is just dumb.
Turner’s block prop is set to 2.5 and the over is juiced.
Robinson’s block prop is set to 1.5 and the under is juiced.
If we look at the favorites, that puts us at four blocks.
Both of their steal props are set to 0.5 with the under being juiced. Meh, this seems like it is asking a ton to get there. Pass for me.
Jokic or Luka to record a triple-double +210 (DK)
Jokic is +310 to record a triple double.
Luke is +550 to record a triple double.
As always, I would rather bet them both separately. Pass for me.
Luka and Ja to score 25+ points each +225 (Fox)
Luka’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Ja’s point prop is set to 24.5 and the underis slightly juiced.
This parlay should pay +207. Unless Memphis wins in a blowout I like this. Yes, Luka has been bad, but this is a solid spot to jump on. I am in.
NYK/DEN/MEM to all win +400 (Fox)
This pays +405 over on FD. In addition, as tradition holds, Fox Bet throws in a small dog in Denver.
NBA
DET +4.5
I am riding with the model tonight.
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 8-13 38.09%
College Record 2-0 100%
Hoops Combined Record 10-13 43.47%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-3 -049
Hoops Odds Boosts 7-9 +515
Hoops Player Props 0-1 -100
NBA Model Highest Rated 11-15 42.30%
NBA Model 85-87 49.41%
Win The Weekends 