The NBA never stops and that is why I love it. At some point, I will stop falling asleep on the couch, but that normally does not happen until NFL season ends. The Pelicans game has plenty of injuries, but with what we know now, the model really likes them. I am here for smaller slates being easier to break down and play DFS.
NBA Model Plays
MIL -4.5
MIA -2.5
UTA -9
NOP +11.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
LAL -10
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 Boost is back on Fan Duel. I hate it so much. Pass.
Luka Triple Double +600 (FD)
Luka is +400 to record a triple-double on other sites.
Luka’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Luka’s rebound prop is set to 7.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Luka’s assist prop is set to 8.5 and the over is juiced.
This is a fair price and boost for Luka. But, can he actually get there. Luka has zero triple-doubles this year in seven games. Luka had 11 triple-doubles last season. In reality while this is a boost, Luka has not demonstrated a ceiling this year at all. This game also has a low total of only 210 points. Pass for me.
Suns to record 15+ made 3’s +500 (DK)
The Suns average nine made threes a game. I suppose you could hope this game blows out and the Suns get hot from deep, but they only attempt 29 3’s per game. If this game had a higher total and we were expecting more points I could maybe see being interested. Nevertheless, again the total is only 215 points. Pass for me.
LeBron and AD to combine for 50+ points +130 (DK)
LeBron’s point prop is set to 24.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
AD’s point prop is set to 23.4 and the over is slightly juiced.
You could just parlay them to both go over for +253. As usual with these combined boosts betting them alone, or parlayed is better. I am passing.
Bam to record 3+ Steals/Blocks +190 (DK)
Bam is averaging 0.4 blocks and 1.0 steals per game. He has recorded 3+ only once in five games this season. I like Bam tonight especially his DK price, but this is tough. There are no specific player props for defense listed on any site at this moment. While I do have interest in Bam, I am passing.
MIL/DAL/UTA to all win +320 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +305. Dallas is a small dog tonight, if you read every night you know how these sites keep adding in small dogs in these parlay boosts. Pass for me.
Luka/Fox/Mitchell 25+ points each +400 (Fox)
Luka’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Fox’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Mitchell’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the under is juiced.
I was ready to fire on this and hope that Fox gets there, but after running it this should pay +473. This is an easy pass if I can find a better price elsewhere. Pass.
Barstool has a, to win opening tip boost. I mean why?
NBA
NOP +11.5
I am rolling with the model. If the injury news breaks against the Pelicans and you did not bet this yet, please stay away.
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 0-1 -100
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-3 -025
Hoops Player Props 0-0
NBA Model Highest Rated 6-8 42.85%
NBA Model 49-42 53.84%
Win The Weekends 