If you saw my Tweet last night, you know this upcoming weekend should be interesting. While I am devising my strategy for the Draft Kings Sports Betting Championship, we have a few days before Friday. Until then we have NFL and NBA tonight.
The NFL is at the top of this post and NBA is afterwards near the bottom. All model information and break down of odds boosts are there though.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
NYG +9.5
Premium
Regular Plays
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.
1+ TDs scored in each quarter +150
We do not bet timed boosts like this. Pass.
Mahomes and Jones to combine for 5+ TD passes +200
This would mean the over comes in for sure. Do you really want to wager on two struggling offenses to not just score five TD’s but pass for five? No thanks.
Draft Kings
25% Boost on a SGP (Opt in required)
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
KC to win and over 50+ points +110
This should pay +100 or so. This is pretty fair, as the Chiefs money line grows even larger this becomes better. The total in this game is 52.5. Ehhh, I am passing again. I like it when boosts are so solid that you have to play them. That is not the case here. It is fine and you can do it if you like.
Fox Bet
Mahomes 300+ passing Yards/Tyreek TD/KC wins +250
This should pay +227, so it is a boost. I have my doubts and worries about the Chiefs at this time. I honestly, have no idea what is going to happen. This seems like a very solid get right spot for Kansas City, but I am staying away.
Daniel Jones 2+ Passing TD’s and Giants to win +450
The Giants are +360 to win on their own. Why would you even make this bet? This should ay +940 on another website easy pass.
NFL
College Football
Let’s Get Weird
NFL Computer Model
Overall 57-65 46.72%
Platinum 3-7 30%
Premium 16-13 55.17%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 19-20 48.71%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 16-10 61.53%
NFL Odds Boosts 10-25 -1215
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +027
College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
Combined
Overall 23-11 67.64%
Odds Boosts 12-26 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073
NBA Model Plays
CLE +5
POR +2
IND -2.5
NYK -7
WAS +5.5
CHI +3 (Highest Rated in Model)
DEN +2
ORL +9
LAC -11.5
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Tatum and LaVine to each score 25+ points +240 (FD)
Lavine’s point prop is set to 23.5. The over is juiced.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 27.5.
This should pay +182. This is right around both players prop number and is a boost in a tight completive game. I like it. I am in.
25% Profit boost PHI/POR (DK Opt in required)
This has become a little more interesting with Embiid out. I want to use this on Tobias Harris, but currently all player props are down.
NYK/DEN/MIN +270 ML Parlay (Fox)
This should pay +256. Denver is a tiny dog, but the other two are solid favorites. I am passing here, since this is the second time the Nuggets and Grizzlies are playing in a short time frame. Well, that and I hate putting small dogs in parlays like this. Pass.
NBA
CHI +3
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 5-5 50%
Hoops Parlay Record 0-1 -100
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-2 +075
Hoops Player Props 0-0
NBA Model Highest Rated 5-8 38.46%
NBA Model 45-37 54.87%
Win The Weekends 