I am going away this weekend and will try to update as I can. Normally, I am only dropping the Thursday night game in this post, but today I am posting everything. The model feels like the rest of the world does that the Chiefs are overrated and should not be giving a ton of points to anyone, but Daniel Jones on the road.
The computer also likes the Pats, but I believe two games against the Jets this season have really inflated their numbers. Of course, they are going to look better when you have two games already against a bottom team in the league.
Our model usually sides with dogs when they are getting close to double-digits. However, if you noticed that did not occur last week and certainly is not happening this week.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
NYG +9.5
Premium
CAR +3
BUF -13.5
CIN -10.5
LAR -14.5
NE +6
Regular Plays
ARZ -7
SF -4
PIT +3.5
DET +3.5
IND -1
SEA -3.5
DEN -3
NO +5.5
DAL -1.
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.
1+ TD in each quarter ARZ/GB +190
We do not bet timed boosts. Pass.
Aaron Jones and Nuk Hopkins to each score 1+ TD +350
Ehhhhh, the Packers offense could be very odd. Jones should up his volume, but this was supposed to be a great game. This should pay +246. I am passing because there are so many unknowns.
Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay is back! That means if you lose it is refunded as a $25 bet.
All of the DK boosts are basically projecting the over to hit tonight. That seems odd considering the Packers have no WR available. I am passing on all of them.
25% Profit boost 5+ Leg College Parlay
No leg can be longer than -500
Pitt/ECU/Tulsa/Clemson/FAU ML Parlay boosted +242
This is the best way I could use this and push the envelope. Every team is right on the ML border of -500. So, why not take a shot as every team is a touchdown favorite or larger.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Barstool also has a few boosts that all essentially are saying the over is going to come in with scoring. If every book is pushing these boosts that are edging toward the over, it should make you think and wonder why. I am passing.
Fox Bet
Fox has the exact same boost as FD but it only pays +300 here. Again most of the boosts are timed, or relate to the over coming in tonight. Yes, I realize that happens often, but this feels like a red flag for what happens tonight. I am passing.
NFL
LAC -4.5 (Barstool)
Rest and a chance to wash that awful Raven’s game out of their mouth. The Pats are not good.
IND -1
Who do you think the public will be on in this one?
College Football
Let’s Get Weird
Pitt/ECU/Tulsa/Clemson/FAU ML Parlay boosted +242 on DK
NFL Computer Model
Overall 47-61 43.51%
Platinum 3-7 30%
Premium 12-12 50%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 15-19 44.11%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 16-8 66.66%
NFL Odds Boosts 10-25 -1215
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +027
College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200 Combined
Overall 23-9 71.87%
Odds Boosts 12-26 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +027
Win The Weekends 