Back to a full slate of games again. Nothing quite like losing three games yesterday by a total of 3.5 points. It happens. I am playing two games tonight, one is the model top play and one is a game I really like. I think the Heat are pretty good and have everyone back.
NBA Model Plays
CHA -6
MIA +4.5
IND +1
ATL -5.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
WAS +4.5
LAL -7.5
MIL -6.5
SAC +7.5
MEM +2.5
CLE +8
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 risk free same game parlay (FD)
There is an opt in required, but always do this when it is risk free.
$25 risk free same game parlay (DK)
Again, you have to do these things and get a free bet if it loses.
Earn a $1 Free Bet for every point over 200 in Memphis/Portland with a $50+ wager on the game (DK)
The total is 234. You have to play this, but how. These are two of the faster teams in the league and the over has come in quite a bit for both of them. I am going to play this game in some capacity, check twitter, as I will post what I do. Please make sure you opt in.
30+ 3’s made Heat/Nets +230 (DK)
This game has a lower total of only 217.5 points.
The Heat average 10 made 3’s per game.
The Nets average 12 made 3’s per game.
Ummm, no thank you. Pass.
Trae Young to score 30+ +200 (DK)
Trae’s points prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Trae to score 30+ pays +186. Therefore, this is a boost, but a very tiny one at that. You can play this if you want, but I am passing. The Hawks are deep and the Pelicans are not good.
Ja Morant to record 40+ points and assists +230 (DK)
Ja’s combo here is set to 33.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
You can parlay Ja to score 25+ and have 8+ assists for +220. This feels a little too high and should pay more. I am passing here as the parlay I suggested pays almost the same. If you were to parlay Ja to have 30 and 10, it would pay +651 on Fan Duel. Pass on this boost.
Tatum and LaMelo to each make 3+ threes +250 (FD)
Tatum’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
LaMelo’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is also heavily juiced.
This parlay should pay +192. Both of these players have made more than two threes in half their games this season. I am going to fire on this one. Tatum gets Washington and Ball gets the awful Magic. I suppose there are blowout concerns, but I am going to risk it. I am in.
WAS/BRK/ATL to all win +450 (Fox)
This parlay pays +498 on Fan Duel. Easy Pass.
NBA
MIA +4
Finally healthy it seems.
ATL -5.5
I trust the model.
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 2-4 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 0-1 -100
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-1 +175
Hoops Player Props 0-0
NBA Model Highest Rated 4-4 50%
NBA Model 25-19 56.81%
Win The Weekends 