Two games with two key injuries tonight. Joel Embiid is questionable as it appears he will be all year every single night. I think he plays based upon the current spread. If it gets higher, obviously, there may be word he sits. LeBron James was downgraded to questionable tonight and the line fell two points after opening at five. This is trending toward saying he will sit based upon movement. I cannot wait to try an figure out DFS with the Lakers in the late game.
NBA Model Plays
UTA -7
SAS +3
DAL -11
GSW -9 (Highest rated in model)
PHI +2
*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 risk free same game parlay (FD)
There is an opt in required, but always do this when it is risk free.
$25 risk free same game parlay (DK)
Again, you have to do these things and get a free bet if it loses.
Rockets and Mavs to combine for 30+ made 3’s +110 (DK)
Dallas averaged 13.5 made 3’s per game.
Houston averages 14 made 3’s per game.
Yes, super small sample size but that should put it at around 27.5 made 3’s. I am passing as it is requiring a few extra made threes.
Jokic to record 50+ Points/Rebounds/Assists +160 (DK)
Jokic’s combo is set to 45.5. If you think Denver on a road B2B at Utah is going to be competitive, then by all means you can play this. I would rather bet Jokic gets a triple-double at +460 though. He is going to need 30-10-10 or pretty close to pay off this bet anyway. Might as well aim a little higher. Pass on this boost.
Embiid and Randle to combine for 50+ Points -105 (DK)
Randle’s point prop is set to 23.5 points.
Embiid’s point prop is set to 26.5 points.
This is a fair price. I only really want to play boosts that I think I am getting a deal on, so I am passing here.
3×2 Boost Sixers and Knicks +100 (FD)
I see Fan Duel is back with this trash again. This is two or more made 3’s inside the first 3 minutes of game time. I keep saying it, I do not bet timed boosts. Remember the day FD had to argue with people on if it went through the hoop or was released before 3 minutes of game time elapsed? This is not worth that aggravation. In addition, the total of 217, is ehh indicating a slower paced game.
Embiid and LeBron 1+ dunk each +110 (Fox Bet)
At some point I am going to stop mentioning these boosts. Embiid does not dunk anywhere near as often as you think he would. I hate these. Pass.
GSW/DAL/DEN to all win +400 (Fox)
Of course, they throw in the 7-point dogs in the Nuggets. These boosts have a system in order put names in of teams that are supposed to be good. This is a road back-to-back for Denver in Utah. This is as bad as the schedule gets now. This should pay +386. Pass.
NBA
GSW -9
There are a few teams so bad they need an extra adjustment in the model. Of course, those teams are not going to lose every game by 20+ points, even if it feels like it. This is the highest rated in the model and I like it as well.
Let’s Get Weird
NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 2-3 40%
Hoops Parlay Record 0-1 -100
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-1 +175
Hoops Player Props 0-0
NBA Model Highest Rated 4-3 57.14%
NBA Model 24-15 61.53%
Win The Weekends 