Week Seven #NFL Odds Boosts You Should Bet and Computer Model Plays (Sunday Morning Update)

Had a Tweet written with the NBA model plays, pushed send, it never went through. Oh well.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum

None

Premium
CAR -3
IND +4.5

Regular Plays

GB -8.5
TEN +5.5
MIA +2.5
NE -7
CIN +6.5
PHI +3
LAR -15
ARZ -18.5
CHI +12.5
NO -4.5




Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

Mahome to throw for 350+ and the Chiefs to win +400
Look, if you think this game is a shootout and you like the Chiefs, you can fire here. The Chiefs feels like a trap. I am out.

Joe B 2+ TD passes +100
If I am on the Bengal’s, I am in on this.

Pat’s super boost
I am sorry, I like some of the games the other way, plus I do not want to mess with the big spreads. I did almost take the Texans at one point as mentioned on Pod with Jeff Collins. I backed off. I am chicken haha.

Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay is back! That means if you lose it is refunded as a $25 bet.

Henry 150+ Rushing Yards +280
I am going to pass on this and suggest you parlay this with the Titans on another site if you want to play it. If he does that well, they will cover, or perhaps win. Pass on the boosts.


Smith and Ruggs to combine for 150+ Receiving Yards +260
Their numbers are set to 57.5 and 52.5 respectively. If you parlay them to both go over it pays +251. Why add in extra yardage for this “boost.” Pass.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.


Fox Bet

GB/NE/CAR to all win +200
This should pay +174. Two of these are large favorites and one is small road favorite. I am scared of the Panthers it seems almost too easy. You can fire on this, but I am passing.


Henry/Adams/Tyreek to all score +400
This should pay +205. This is a very solid boost. It features two key guys in a game with a massive total. I am in. The boost is too large for me to pass up. I hope that your max bet is larger than mine.



Mahomes and Rodgers 3+ passing TD’s each +400
Rodgers is -250 to throw over 1.5 TD’s.
Mahomes is -140 to throw over 2.5 TD’s.
If you parlay these two is should pay roughly +200 or so. This is an odd one because the Packers are large favorites and could easily end up running the ball and ton and not needing to keep throwing. I am passing here.

Stafford and Kyler 250+ Passing Yards each +100
Look, these two games could blowout easily and they may run it a ton. I am very scared of both of them not needing to throw. Pass.


LAR/TB/PHI to all win +200
This is strange. This parlay should pay around +188. This is basically the Eagles money line boosted up. If I am going to play the Eagles, then yes, you should bet this. I am not there yet. Update, I am there.



Hopkins and Cupp to both score a TD +200
Do we want to wager on large favorites needing to throw and both of these players to score? Mehhh, pass for me.

NFL
MIA +2.5
Atlanta should not be laying points on the road to anyone.

SF -4
Rain, wind and the Niners running it a ton. I like it.

CIN +6.5
Defense is better than we think. I believe this is a field goal game.


College Football
Pitt -3
I will continue to ride the Panthers.

Let’s Get Weird
GB/NE/LAR/TB/ARZ ML Parlay +127 (Fox)
Yes, this is a 5 team parlay paying only +127. I will be taking my chances here. Who screws this up? The Patriots I suppose. I am planning to use the Pats for my survivor pick as well, so just bring the pain.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 41-54 43.15%
Platinum 3-7 30%
Premium 11-11 50%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 14-18 43.75%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 14-7 66.66%
NFL Odds Boosts 9-23 -1115
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100

College Football
Overall 6-1 85.71%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200

Combined
Overall 20-8 71.42%
Odds Boosts 11-23 -915
Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100

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