This is such a weird week. There are several massive favorites. It is rare to have one team giving more than 14+ in a season, let alone two in one week! Last night Denver +3.5 comes through in some contest, but Denver getting any other number is a loser. This is such a small week due to byes, and with the large spreads, picking games for contests is not going to be easy. I am extremely happy to have one already in my pocket with Broncos +3.5.
Normally, at this point in the week I have already made some wagers. This week, I have only made one and that is the Pitt Panthers -3. Pitt is really good and keeps scoring. It feels like the odds makers know Pitt’s history and are waiting for the bottom to fall out. I will undoubtedly make some more bets this weekend and as always will update and repost this blog when more odds boosts are added.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None
Premium
CAR -3
IND +4.5
Regular Plays
GB -8.5
TEN +5.5
MIA +2.5
NE -7
CIN +6.5
PHI +3
LAR -15
ARZ -18.5
CHI +12.5
NO -4.5
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.
Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay is back! That means if you lose it is refunded as a $25 bet.
5+ Leg College Parlay 25% Boost
This would be better if the largest money line involved was not -500.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Fox Bet
GB/NE/CAR to all win +200
This should pay +174. Two of these are large favorites and one is small road favorite. I am scared of the Panthers it seems almost too easy. You can fire on this, but I am passing.
Henry/Adams/Tyreek to all score +400
This should pay +205. This is a very solid boost. It features two key guys in a game with a massive total. I am in. The boost is too large for me to pass up. I hope that your max bet is larger than mine.
Mahomes and Rodgers 3+ passing TD’s each +400
Rodgers is -250 to throw over 1.5 TD’s.
Mahomes is -140 to throw over 2.5 TD’s.
If you parlay these two is should pay roughly +200 or so. This is an odd one because the Packers are large favorites and could easily end up running the ball and ton and not needing to keep throwing. I am passing here.
Stafford and Kyler 250+ Passing Yards each +100
Look, these two games could blowout easily and they may run it a ton. I am very scared of both of them not needing to throw. Pass.
LAR/TB/PHI to all win +200
This is strange. This parlay should pay around +188. This is basically the Eagles money line boosted up. If I am going to play the Eagles, then yes, you should bet this. I am not there yet.
Hopkins and Cupp to both score a TD +200
Do we want to wager on large favorites needing to throw and both of these players to score? Mehhh, pass for me.
NFL
College Football
Pitt -3
I will continue to ride the Panthers.
Let’s Get Weird
GB/NE/LAR/TB/ARZ ML Parlay +127 (Fox)
Yes, this is a 5 team parlay paying only +127. I will be taking my chances here. Who screws this up? The Patriots I suppose. I am planning to use the Pats for my survivor pick as well, so just bring the pain.
NFL Computer Model
Overall 41-54 43.15%
Platinum 3-7 30%
Premium 11-11 50%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 14-18 43.75%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 14-7 66.66%
NFL Odds Boosts 9-23 -1115
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
College Football
Overall 6-1 85.71%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200 Combined
Overall 20-8 71.42%
Odds Boosts 11-23 -915
Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
Win The Weekends 