We have a full 11-game slate tonight! I love it. I cannot wait to play some DFS and fire off some bets.
NBA Model Plays
CHA -1
CHI -5
WAS +3
NYK -2.5
CLE +7.5
PHI -4
HOU +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
ORL +6.5
UTA -12.5
POR -5
DEN +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
*if two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.
Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 risk free same game parlay (FD)
There is an opt in required, but always do this when it is risk free.
Knicks and Raptors to both win +240 (FD)
This should pay +194. Both of these teams are short favorites at home. I mean, I have no idea what the new look Raptors will be. The Celtics may have some Covid issues, but at this time, I am going to wait and see here. Pass.
$25 risk free same game parlay (DK)
Again, you have to do these things and get a free bet if it loses.
Game of the Week Wednesday (DK)
Opt in and place a bet of $50+ on Suns/Nuggets. For every point over 200 scored in the game, you get a free bet. If 234 points are scored, you get a $34 free bet.
The total in this game opened at 222.5, but now sits at 224. While the Suns are a 6.5-point favorite.
The Suns in the playoffs destroyed the Nuggets only a few months ago. The Nuggets are not healthy yet as Jamal Murray is still out. The Suns were very tough at home last year. This is a tough spot, but because of the boost you are getting almost half off a wager. Oddly, the Nuggets are the second highest rated team in the model. Reluctantly, I am going to lock in the Nuggets +6.5 with this boost.
There are no other NBA odds boosts posted on DK.
Embiid 1+ dunk and Sixers win +100 (Fox)
Embiid averages 0.81 dunks per game and the Sixers are four-point road favorites. I hate dunk boosts and Embiid has let us down plenty of times. Pass for me.
LaVine and Ja 1+ dunk each +125 (Fox)
Why? I hate dunk boosts. Pass.
Hornets/Bulls/Sixers to all win +375 (Fox)
This should pay +331. The Hornets are tiny one-point favorites. The Bulls and Sixers are slightly larger favorites. Do you really want to play a three-team parlay on opening night with small numbers here? Pass for me. If this paid +430, I would be more likely to come in on this boost.
LaMelo Ball to record a double-double +500 (Fox)
This game has a 223 point total. Ball’s point prop is set to 18.5. Ball’s rebound prop is set to 5.5. Ball’s assist prop is set to 6.5. I was somewhat surprised Ball’s assist prop was so low. Ball is +440 to record 10+ assists. Considering what that pays, it is clear the expectation is he does not get a double-double. I was hoping this would be better than it was, but instead I am passing.
Embiid to score 20+/Maxey to score 10+/Sixers to win +140 (Barstool)
This parlay should pay -104. The Sixers are small four-point road favorites. Embiid’s prop is set to 28.5 points. Maxey’s point prop is set to 14.5. I normally shy away from most Barstool boosts, but this is pretty good. Both players can miss their prop, but the Sixers still need to win. I like this as the Pelicans are in disarray it seems. I am in.
NBA
PHI -4
What am I missing here? The Sixers have moved on from Simmons and one way to get through a distraction is to win. I like Philly tonight.
DEN +6.5
Denver is not completely healthy, but they were playing Austin Rivers 40 minutes a night in the playoffs. The depth is back and they will be more competitive.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
NBA Record 2010-2022
NBA Record 0-1 0%
Hoops Parlay Record
Hoops Odds Boosts 1-0 +135
Hoops Player Props
NBA Model Highest Rated
NBA Model 1-1 50%
Win The Weekends 