The NBA is back tomorrow!
I know I mentioned this the other day, but the Buffalo Bills continue to break our computer model. The model loves the Bills tonight. Obviously, this is apparent because of the Bills appearing in the platinum section. It does feel like such a public bet though. I mean who is taking the Titans here. I will say this is a game coming off a big win for the Bills. It is almost as if Buffalo won the Super Bowl last week and now has to get up for a game against a bad Titans team on the road. It is an easy let down spot. As the line climbs it feels like a Buffalo wins and does not cover spot to me. I am staying away.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
BUFF -5.5
Premium
Regular Plays
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.
1+ TD scored in each quarter +160
I do not bet timed boosts per usual.
Henry and Diggs to score 1+ TD +300
This should pay +218 and is a pretty solid boost. The Titans secondary is awful and Henry is -165 for anytime TD. Fine, I am reluctantly jumping on this. I am in. If the Titans get anywhere close you know who is getting the ball.
Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay is back! That means if you lose it is refunded as a $25 bet.
Allen and Henry to combine for 450+ Pass and Rush Yards +350
Allen’s passing prop is set to 289.5.
Allen’s rushing prop is set to 31.5.
Allen’s combination is set to 321 yards.
Henry’s rushing prop is set to 95.5 yards.
It is expected that their total hover around 416.5 yards.
What is difficult here is that if Allen throws for bunch of yards and the Bills score that would not be beneficial for Henry, as teams that fall behind tend to throw more. Yes, it is possible the Titans are the exception. Yet, I am fading this here. If Henry has a monster day, that means Allens and Bills offense is off the field while the Titans are grinding clock. Pass.
First score of game to be a FG +185
Ehhhh, either team to score a touchdown first is favored in this spot. This game has a massive total and the Titans secondary as I mentioned is awful. Pass for me. If you can find a site that gives out firsts scoring play as TD and it pays plus money, bet this boost and that same prop on whatever site that is. Pass on this alone.
Diggs to record a 40+ yard receiving TD +550
This is asking for a lot of things to break correctly. Pass for me.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Fox Bet
Allen and Henry to both score a rushing TD +250
Yeah, you can bet anytime TD for both of them parlayed on FD at +262. Easy pass.
The rest of the Fox Bet boosts are timed, or involve AJ Brown. Brown is going to be shadowed by Tre’Davious White. Pass for me.
NFL
College Football
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
NFL Computer Model
Overall 41-52 44.08%
Platinum 3-6 33.33%
Premium 11-11 50%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 14-17 45.16%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 14-7 66.66%
NFL Odds Boosts 8-21 -1215
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
College Football
Overall 6-1 85.71%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
Combined
Overall 20-8 71.42%
Odds Boosts 10-21 -1015
Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
Win The Weekends 