It is Friday afternoon and the odds boosts are still not posted. I wonder why these sites continue to do this. Is there some benefit to waiting? If they are using these boosts to drive traffic to their sites and retain customers, they have an odd way of not advertising them. As always, if a site you use gives you an odds boost and you are unsure about it, just send us a tweet and we will respond. Despite a lack of odds boosts, we will continue and post our computer model. As always, make sure you head over to Numberball.com for all your DFS needs, as I will be on the NFL rundown show with Jeff Collins breaking down the games. Jeff will give the DFS perspective and I handle the betting side. I will tweet the link when it is available, but yes, you have to be a subscriber over on Numberball.
After a 5-0 week one in my picks contest, I have faltered to a meh 13-12 after five weeks. Removing Minnesota in week three right before lock was a mistake that I am still thinking about. Yet, after hitting the Eagles last night, I am only six games out of first at this moment.
This week has an odd feel with so many road favorites. As we know, dogs have cleaned up the start the year, but these things seem to even out by seasons end. I realize one of my plays has me kind of out on my own, but I really like the Ravens Sunday. It seems like a tough spot, short week against the team everyone is ready to anoint as the future. You can continue to run on the Chargers and the Ravens will do just that. This feels like the week the Chargers fourth down aggressiveness may run into some variance as they cannot run this hot the entire year. I love what they do, but hope they miss a few this week.
I have this feeling once Tua is cleared I find my way to Miami too this weekend.
As usual, I will update this article throughout the weekend and add odds boosts. I will post my plays for picks contest on twitter Sunday morning.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
ARZ +3
BUFF -5.5
Premium
CIN -3.5
HOU +9.5
SEA +4.5
Regular Plays
JAX +3.5
CHI +4.5
NYG +10.5
CAR +1
LAC +3
DEN -3.5
DAL -3.5
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.
Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay is back! That means if you lose it is refunded as a $25 bet.
DK has a few college football boosts, but they are all alternate spread type boosts. Do you really want to bet Indiana to win by 6+ vs Michigan State? I am passing on all of these.
DK does offer a parlay boost, but no leg can be larger than -500. I understand why they are doing this, but at the same time that is extremely limiting in college, as a team could be -10 and the money line is above -500. I will look to see if there is anything, I like and will post if I play it.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Why would you bet the Brandon vs. Dave bet? Seriously, are people that loyal to the brand of Barstool? Pass.
Fox Bet
I hope you got your free $10 from the boosts last night. LOL.
NFL
BAL -2.5
College Football
PITT -5
In August I bet them to win the Coastal at 10/1. I added Pickett to win the Heisman at 50/1. It would follow I back them against here. VT’s QB has a hurt shoulder and if he cannot play the backup is also hurt. Pitt is going to score, that I have no doubt. The defense is shaky, but this is a bet on the Pitt offense.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
NFL Computer Model
Overall 36-46 43.90%
Platinum 2-6 25%
Premium 9-10 47.36%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 11-16 40.74%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 13-5 72.22%
NFL Odds Boosts 8-20 -1115
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
College Football
Overall 5-1 83.33%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200 Combined
Overall 17-6 73.91%
Odds Boosts 9-18 -815
Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
Win The Weekends 