After what I am calling a disappointing week five, we are back for week six. Nothing is scarier than going against Tom Brady, but here we are. The Eagles have been very good on Thursday night’s and Brady has struggled to cover the number in primetime. Remember last year when we made fun of Brady’s 8:30 bedtime and wondered if that mattered. I think the Bucs secondary will matter even more tonight.
We will be back tomorrow with all of the computer model plays. On Tuesday, the NBA is back and so will our model and odds boosts breakdowns. I cannot wait!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
Regular Plays
PHI +7
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.
Brady 300+ Passing Yards and TB to win +190
Brady’s passing prop is set to 300.5 yards.
This parlay should play +165. If you like, the Bucs tonight, this is a reasonable thing to play. I am on the Eagles so I am shying away from this, but this could easily happen. Brady has been over 300+ in three out of five games this year. If you think this game is competitive, you should highly consider this. I am passing, but mostly because I have the Eagles +7.
Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay is back! That means if you lose it is refunded as a $25 bet. Last week I turned one of these free bets into a SGP win! It has ten selections and did not fit on a screen shot completely! The last leg was the Colts to fumble.
Brady to record a rushing or receiving TD +600
Brady is +600 on FD to score any anytime TD. This is an easy pass, as it is not a boost at all.
Hurts to record 350+ combined rushing and passing yards +135
Hurts rushing prop is set to 45.5 yards.
Hurts passing prop is set to 285.5 yards.
While I realize it is not combined, you could parlay the over on those two for +261.
Even if you look at some alternative lines, you could have Hurts over 25 rushing and over 325 passing and that pays +248. I want to mention that Hurts is also +320 to throw for 350+ passing yards. I think I would rather bet a different parlay combo, than this boost. Pass for me.
1+ Touchdown scored in each quarter +175
I do not bet timed boosts. Pass.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Hurts 1.5+ Passing TDs/Smith over 70.5 receiving yards/PHI +7.5 +375
Over 1.5 Td’s is heavily juiced at -150.
Smith’s prop is set to 73.5 yards.
Smith to have 70+ yards is -146.
This parlay should pay +396. You can find this parlay on a different site for a better price. As always, shop around. Pass here.
Fox Bet
Opt in and get your free $5 bet.
Brady and Hurts to have 300+ passing yards +300
This parlay should pay +276. Brady as I stated above gets there in competitive games. The exceptions were against the Pats in the rain, and when they beat the Falcons and had two straight pick sixes to inflate the score and keep the offense off the field. I think the Eagles keep this close and score tonight. I am in.
Evans/AB/Smith all 50+ receiving yards +200
All three players prop numbers are well above this. These are starting to feel like those NBA boosts of three payers to score 25+ and all of their props are slightly above the number. This parlay should pay +164. I am in. This game has a high total and Brady should be able to pass all over the Eagles zone. You know how I feel about Hurts and the Eagles throwing a ton tonight. I am in.
Hurts 250+ passing and 50+ rushing yards +200
This parlay should pay +193. Ehhhh, this is not much of a boost at all frankly. I am slightly worried about Smith rushing for plenty of yards tonight since the Bucs secondary is awful. I am out on this.
TB/Memphis/South Alabama to all win +200
This should pay +167. I am sure you are wondering, what the spreads are for the college games. Memphis is a sizable favorite, while SA is only a 2.5-point favorite tonight. This is an easy pass for me as I have zero interest being on South Alabama as a small favorite, when I know nothing about them.
NFL
PHI +7 (-115)
When I finally saw a Philly +7 I had to grab it despite the juice. Brady has struggled covering prime time games over the last three years and the Bucs secondary as we know is awful. If there was a game for the Eagles to throw it a ton, it is tonight. This line keeps bouncing around, wait for seven if you do not have that as an option right now.
BAL -2.5
College Football
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
NFL Computer Model
Overall 35-46 43.20%
Platinum 2-6 25%
Premium 9-10 47.36%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 11-16 40.74%
Our Plays
NFL
Overall 12-5 70.58%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-18 -1015
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
College Football
Overall 5-1 83.33%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
Combined
Overall 17-6 73.91%
Odds Boosts 9-18 -815
Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
Win The Weekends 