What a weird sports weekend that was. College football upsets weird NFL games and the Buffalo Bills dominating the Chiefs to cap the NFL Sunday. It was funny, the Bills +2.5 was the highest rated game in out model since the Seahawks/Broncos Super bowl a few years back. That was the first year we had a model and were not sure what that meant. We just created it for ourselves. Yet, many years later, we finally saw numbers that high. Normally, if I see something that is far off, I assume it is incorrect. I mean, when everything else fits in a tiny box and something destroys the box, you will hesitate to put it in it. Yet, twice now, the model has given numbers that strong, although they were seven years apart.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
Regular Plays
IND +7
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.
Ravens and Colts to each score 1+ Rushing and 1+ Passing TDs +250
Ehhhhh, these boosts have been awful and not coming through. The Colts have only accomplished this feat one time in four games. The Ravens defense is still pretty strong. Pass for me.
Hollywood Brown to score a TD +230He will be open for a deep TD, but will he catch it? He is +120 to score an anytime TD. I do not know, I think the Ravens run it a ton as they want to. Pass for me, but this is a solid boost.
Draft Kings
Ravens to record 150+ Rushing yards +120
If you believe the Ravens will win and be ahead, this makes a lot of sense. I think Baltimore is primed to have a great rushing night as the Colts have given up 140, 101, 180, and 35 rushing yards. The 35 was against the Dolphins last week and the only time the Colts were ahead in a game. I am going to back one of the best rushing offensives in the league tonight. I am in.
10+ Points scored in 1st Quarter +105
Pass on timed boosts.
Taylor to record 75+ rushing yards +230
His prop total is 59.5 yards.
Taylor to rush for 80+ pays +194. This is a pretty solid boost.
No running back has gone over 60+ yards against the Ravens. Pass.
Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.
Raven to lead after every quarter +160
I do not bet timed boosts. While it seems the Ravens should be ahead, there is no urgency that they be leading after the end of the first quarter. Pass.
Fox Bet
Lamar 200+ passing yards and 50+ rushing yards +100
Lamar has done this in three out of four games this season. This parlay should pay -101. I am in. Provided this game is semi-competitive, Lamar has done this often. I am ready to get hurt again on another boost like this.
NFL
Nothing at this time.
College Football
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
NFL Computer Model
Overall 34-46 42.5%
Platinum 2-6 25%
Premium 9-10 47.36%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 11-16 40.74%
Our Plays
Overall 12-5 70.58%
NFL Odds Boosts 6-17 -1015
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
College Football
Overall 5-1 83.33%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
Win The Weekends 