I was all over the Bucs. I bet them at -6.5. Now, Gronk is officially out and Brady may be a little sick. The world is on the Bucs. I hate it. Nevertheless, I am staying with it. I will not be putting it in any of my contests though. The books seem more than happy to take a lot of money on TB. Not just teasers, ML bets and against the spread, but in terms of boosts as well. Be afraid.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
CAR +4.5
PHI +7
DEN -1
Premium
WAS -1
DET +3
CLE -2
LVR +3.5
Regular Plays
HOU +16.5IND +2.5
NO -7.5
NYJ +7
ARZ +4.5
SEA +3
PIT +6.5
NE +6.5
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.
Hurts to score a TD and record 200+ Passing yards +400
If not now when? This should pay +216. Here we go again. The Chiefs defense has been awful and I am here to lose more money on the Eagles. I am in.
FD also has several Brady and Bucs related boosts. Man, they are really giving out everything in the world for people to bet the Bucs. Run. A. Way.
Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded with a $25 free bet. You have to do these things.
I tweeted about it, but look at all the Brady boosts they have posted. They are not great at this time. Maybe they add more.
BUFF/CLE/TB ML Parlay +175
Ohhhhhhhhhhhhhhh here we go. If you are a long time reader I talked over the last year how the sites will throw a name into a parlay boost like this, but it is deceiving. The sites will use the Yankees in baseball or the Lakers when players are resting and try to trick people into betting this. TB and BUFF are favorites and should be fine. Cleveland is giving two in Minnesota. The Vikings could easily be 3-0. If you recall, I threw out the Vikings as my 5th game in contests last week for the Bears. That was dumb. The Vikings as a home dog are very intriguing to me. This should pay +145, but I am passing.
They have a Lamar and Teddy B boost for passing yards. This game has a very low total and passing on Denver is very difficult. This is such an easy fade. Feels like the books are setting traps this week.
Barstool Sportsbook
The boosts here suck every week. They are just parlays of their personalities. Pass.
Fox Bet
Baker and Cousins to record 250+ Passing Yards +175
This parlay should pay +136. Cousins will get here easily. Baker will need to pass on the Vikings and you can pass on them. Baker’s prop number is 248.5 and the over is juiced. I am in here.
Beckham/Thielen/Jefferson 50+ Yards Receiving +200
This should pay +139. All three players’ prop numbers are well above 50 yards. I think this game shoots out and I will be stacking the Vikings as I have the last two weeks. I am in.
NFL
TB -6.5
NYJ +7.5
I bet both of these early in the week. As you can tell, I have backed off TB.
ARZ +4.5
The Rams win a massive game and have Seattle on Thursday. This game is lumped in the middle. The Rams have owned the Cards, but Arizona’s defense has been better and they have tons of weapons.
SEA +3
Russ will not lose three in a row. Remember how concerned we were with the Niners secondary insert the Seahawks passing attack. This feels like a must win spot for Seattle and I like them this week.
College Football
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
NFL Computer Model
Overall 20-30 40%
Platinum 1-2 33.33%
Premium 5-6 45.45%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 6-8 42.85%
Our Plays
Overall 8-3 72.72%
NFL Odds Boosts 6-12 -515
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
College Football
Overall 4-1 80%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100
Win The Weekends 