Some days we make bed decisions. I am 2-2 in the Draft Kings picks contest with the Eagles +4.5 points tonight. I should be 3-1. I had Minnesota in as my last game, but flipped it to the Bears before the games started. Oops. This will happen at times, but there is nothing I can do about it now. Anyway, we will move forward and see what we have offered tonight on all the major sites. I am obviously, on the Eagles as is the computer model.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays Week 3 (Record is updated at the bottom)
Platinum
Premium
Regular Plays
PHI +4
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.
Eagles and Cowboys to each score 2+ TD’s and 2+ FG’s +320
Meh, why do they offer these types of wagers. I am passing here. This does have a large total at 51.5 points, but with the Eagles continually going for it on fourth down near the goal line, there is no guarantee then even attempt a field goal.
Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded with a $25 free bet. You have to do these things.
Dak to throw for 3+ Passing TD’s +190
Dak’s TD prop is set to 1.5 and the over is heavily juiced at -172. For Dak to throw 2+ TD’s it pays +145. This is a boost, but I am on the Eagles, so I am fading here. I do think it makes sense that the Cowboys would have to throw more as the Eagles are solid against the run. You can play this, but I am out.
Hurts to record 350+ all purpose yards +250
Hurts passing prop is set to 245.5.
Hurts rushing prop is set to 54.5.
This combo is set to 300 exactly based on his props. If we look alternate lines for both passing and rushing, it is clear that this line is too low. FD does have a combined prop but it is set to 308.5 and the over pays -110. Conversely, while, it is not an exact an apples to apples comparison, Hurts to throw for 275 yards and rush for 70+ yards should pay +750. This would still be five yards short. As much as I love Hurts and thinks he has a big game, you are better off playing some alternate props and parlaying them than betting this boost.
Lamb or Zeke to score a TD in the first half +145
I do not bet boosts that are timed. Pass.
Hurts and Dak with a rushing TD +500
I thought this might be a solid wager. However, you can parlay them to both score at any time and anyway at +689 on Fan Duel. This is an easy pass. Anytime you can bet it on another site at a much better price this is an easy fade.
Barstool Sportsbook
Dallas to win and Over 50+ points +200
This parlay should pay +167. If you like, Dallas you can fire on this. I like the Eagles, so I am passing.
Fox Bet
Hurts 200+ Passing Yards and 60+ Rushing Yards +200
Hurts passing prop is set to 245.5.
Hurts rushing prop is set to 54.5.
This parlay bet with alternative lines should pay +165. I am in. I think Hurts plays well and the Eagles do too. I wonder what everyone’s max bet is here as mine is rather small. I bet my max.
NFL
PHI +4
I bet this Friday night. I know the game is Monday, but grab the numbers before they disappear. The Eagles make it difficult to run the ball and the Cowboys defense won last week despite forcing one punt. This is a close game and I like Philly.
College Football
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
NFL Computer Model
Overall 20-28 41.66%
Platinum 1-1 50%
Premium 5-6 45.45%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 6-7 46.15%
Our Plays
Overall 8-2 80%
NFL Odds Boosts 6-8 -115
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
College Football
Overall 3-1 75%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100
Win The Weekends 