Week two is upon us! There are a few odds boosts I am on, at various sites!
Nevertheless, we move on and are on to the main event of week two. I want to remind everyone that the computer model plays are based on the Westgate Super Contest Lines. They are stagnant and do not change. Again, when I post my plays for the DK contest they may be different from the computer model or what is posted. The Lines I will use at the bottom to mention my bets are the lines at the time of writing. I make bets all throughout the week, but to be fair to anyone out there I will mention the lines as they currently sit. I am mentioning this because I took the Eagles at +3.5 earlier in the week, but they are down to +3 throughout the industry.
Make sure you are subscribing to Numberball.com for all your DFS needs and listening to the show I am doing with Jeff Collins. We break down every single game in detail for DFS and sports betting purposes.
Last week was great, and hopefully, we can duplicate some of that success this week.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Nothing at this time.
Premium
HOU +12.5
NO -3
ATL +12.5
Regular Plays
PITT -5.5
CHI -2.5
IND +3.5
MIA +3.5
NYJ +6
SF -3.5
JAX +6
MINN +3.5
DAL +3
TEN +5.5
BAL +3.5
GB -11.5
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.
DeVonta Smith 70+ Receiving yard +280
Smith’s prop number is set to 50.5 and I happen to like the over. The Niners have injuries on defense, especially in the secondary. This should pay around +10. I am in. I think the Eagles score a ton this week.
ARZ/KC to win +170
This should pay +126. I have weird feelings about this Arizona game and well, the Chiefs should win no problem as they own the Ravens. You can definitely fire on this if you want. I am going to pass
Herbert to throw 2+ TD’s/LAC to win +140
This should pay +131. This is such a tiny boost it is not worth playing. I think Herbert will easily throw two TD’s as this game has a massive total, but in terms of the boost, pass.
Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded with a $25 free bet. You have to do these things.
20% Profit Boost for every Sunday game. This is a max bet of $50, but you should use this, then bet more after. I mean why would you not take a team from -110 into plus money?
33% Parlay Boost on a 3+ leg parlay. No one leg can be a larger favorite than -500. Max bet again is $50.
DeVonta Smith to score a TD +240
Smith is +200 for anytime TD scorer. If I am on the other prop, it makes sense I would be on this. I am heavily invested in the Eagles for the second straight week.
Chase Claypool to score a TD +170
Claypool is +160 for anytime TD scorer. This is an easy pass as it is barely a boost.
Barstool Sportsbook
Big Cat Can’t lose Parlay
CLE/PIT/TB to all win/ PHI +8.5/Over 47.5 KC and BAL +350
Shockingly, this is pretty solid. This parlay should pay +259. I think Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Tampa Bay all win. I am on the Eagles, as you know. That means we get over in the KC/BAL game, but at a seven-point discount. Plus, we can hedge middle the total in the night game. I like this. I am in!
Fox Bet
Eagles to score a TD at +100. My Max bet was $10. Maybe yours is larger, but I doubt it. Fox Bet has allowed us to bet things like this for a max of $10, but last year you could do it every day. I am not opposed to a free $40 if I can bet this every day until Sunday.
Ben 250+ Yards passing/2+ TD Passes/Steelers to win +200
Cooper/Lamb/Allen/Williams to each record 50+ Yards Receiving +300
NFL
PHI +3
I think the Eagles are good. The Niners lost several defensive players to injury. We will continue to ride the birds as dogs.
CAR +3.5
Every year in week two there are lines that are an overreaction to week one. I present to you the Saints on the road one week after a large portion of the betting public thought they were going to be crushed by the Packers. Yes, the computer model has the Saints, but here we are.
PITT -5.5
Old school betting take incoming. The Raiders played late Monday night on the west coast and now travel to the East coast for a 1 PM game against a very good defense and team that had an extra day of rest. On the other hand, these are games that Tomlin has a history of blowing. The Raiders somehow win in Pittsburgh a lot more often than they should. Tomlin last week proved that he was going to play to win games and threw to get first downs late instead of running the clock. Maybe, and yes this is the Steelers fan in me, Tomlin has figured out the aggression necessary to put games away. I hope the Steelers do not come out flat in this spot, but I think this is a tough ask for the Raiders.
CHI -1.5
Ohhhh this is an overreaction. The Bengals could have easily lost last week and the Bears would be -3 here. I am down with the Bears.
College Football
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
NFL Computer Model
Overall 7-9 43.75%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 2-0 100%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 2-0 100%
Our Plays
Overall 4-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-3 +025
College Football
Overall 2-1 66.66%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100