NFL Week One Recap

That was a decent start to the season.

On the Numberball NFL Rundown, I gave out six plays I liked. (Also, you should subscribe to Numberball.com for all your daily fantasy needs.)
PITT WIN
MIA WIN
ARZ WIN
PHI WIN
DEN WIN
LVR WIN

Our Computer model gave out two premium plays.
HOU WIN
MIA WIN

In the Draft Kings Pick’em contest I went 5-0.
PITT WIN
MIA WIN
DEN WIN
PHI WIN
LAR WIN

I am pretty sure I could not have drawn it up any better. A grand total of 32 people went 5-0 in the DK contest, of course I would like to win, and the $1 million that comes with winning the crown. There are over 1800 runners, so I am realistic as to what it would take to actually win. While it was nice to start the season this way, we are right back at it for week two. Sports betting is a very long grind and it never stops if you play multiple sports. One thing to keep in mind when you see me tweet my picks for the DK contest, they are avoiding ties by moving every line a half-point. This means a team that is +3 in every market may only be +2.5, or conversely +3.5 in the contest. There is no need to tweet at me, “how did you get +3.5, when I only see +3.” Believe me, I understand. As I mentioned last year on the show with Jeff Collins, there may be times a line has moved and you have to take it in the contest. Lines for most picks contest lock on Wednesday night. If major new breaks or a QB is ruled out, the line may be drastically different for what we can actually bet, yet the line for that contest is stagnant and will not change.

Just like last week, I will update this blog post throughout the week as different odds boosts are posted by the major sites. I hope that they can give us a dog we like again boosted to plus money. Even the one boost that failed, was due to injury and Fan Duel was nice enough to refund that money in site credit. I am still upset about the night two years ago, I bet an over on Jonathan Isaac of the Orlando Magic and he got hurt in under thirty seconds. It seems strange that FD decides to refund some things due to injury, but not others. I mean, the Mostert boost was their own sponsored boost, so perhaps that had something to do with it. Even though it was refunded, I am counting my suggestion to bet that boost as a loss. After all, it did not win.

Our computer model play for Thursday night will be posted tomorrow.

Computer Model Plays
Platinum


Premium


Regular Plays

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded with a $25 free bet. You have to do these things.

Barstool Sportsbook

Fox Bet

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NFL
Nothing at this time.

College Football
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 7-8 46.66%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 2-0 100%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 2-0 100%

Our Plays
Overall 4-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +125

College Football
Overall 2-1 66.66%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100